Gut eigentlich, dass der verdammte Russe nie verhandeln will

13. Juli 2025

Sor­ry, ich kotz nur noch durch.

Wie vie­le Wor­te braucht es eigent­lich um eine Brue­gel Ana­ly­se unter die Leu­te zu bringen?

Also die aus dem FEBRUAR.

From a macroeco­no­mic per­spec­ti­ve, the num­bers are small enough for Euro­pe to replace the US ful­ly. Sin­ce Febru­a­ry 2022, US mili­ta­ry sup­port to Ukrai­ne has amoun­ted to €64 bil­li­on, while Euro­pe, inclu­ding the United King­dom, sent €62 bil­li­on. In 2024, US mili­ta­ry sup­port amoun­ted to €20 bil­li­on out of a total of €42 bil­li­on. To replace the US, the EU would thus have to spend only ano­t­her 0.12 per­cent of its GDP – a fea­si­ble amount. A more important ques­ti­on is whe­ther Euro­pe could do this without access to the US military-industrial base.

A signi­fi­cant­ly more chal­len­ging sce­n­a­rio for Euro­pe would be an unli­kely peace deal accep­ted by Ukrai­ne. In such a sce­n­a­rio, Rus­sia is likely to con­ti­nue its mili­ta­ry build-up, crea­ting a for­mi­da­ble mili­ta­ry chal­len­ge to all of the EU in a very short peri­od, given cur­rent Rus­si­an pro­duc­tion. The EU and allies inclu­ding the UK and Nor­way would need to acce­le­ra­te their mili­ta­ry build-ups immedia­te­ly and massively.

src: click









Hinterlasse eine Antwort