attained only -
Since Jan. 1, 2025, average Russian monthly gains have been 169 square miles. In the past four weeks (Aug. 26–Sept. 23, 2025), Russian forces gained 206 square miles of Ukrainian territory, a 14% increase from the 180 square miles these forces gained during the previous four-week period (July 29–Aug. 26, 2025).
src: click
- this month, according to the Belfer Center report card - which I had to look at for a flipping ten minutes, until I gleaned, that the ISW fucked the deepstatemap.live narrative around Pokrovsk royally.
src: click
So lets take a look at the numbers in square kilometers:
Average monthly russian gain in 2025: 437,7 km²
Average monthly russian gain in 2024: 4168/12 = 347.3 km²
Last months average monthly gain: 466,2 km² (July 29–Aug. 26, 2025)
This months average montly gain: 533,5 km² (Aug. 26–Sept. 23, 2025)
Mind you - this is during the current “ukrainian counter offensive”.
So naturally - the Ukraine just brought Yuval Noah Harari to explain to you that this is obviously less than 1% of Ukraine, so…
Contrary to the narrative pushed by Russian propaganda, Ukraine has so far been winning the war. Even US President Donald Trump, who in February 2025 lectured Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy that he must cave in to Russian demands because “you don’t have the cards”, has this week declared that “Ukraine, with the support of the European Union, is in a position to fight and WIN”.
src: click
Ukraine just as winning by losing more territory on average than this time last year. During its fabled offensive.
Oh - and this is what the ISW usually extrapolates, if the right person asks:
In the past week, Sept. 16–23, 2025, Russia has gained 28 square miles of Ukraine’s territory, down from the previous week’s gain of 91 square miles, which constitutes a decrease of 69%.
edit: Spielverderber…