+++ 08:25 Ex-Oberbefehlshaber Saluschnyj warnt vor Krieg bis 2034 +++
Der frühere Oberbefehlshaber und gegenwärtige ukrainische Botschafter in Großbritannien, Walerij Saluschnyj, warnt eindringlich davor, einen Waffenstillstand zu schließen, ohne die künftige Verteidigungsfähigkeit aufzubauen. Denn in diesem Fall würde der Krieg noch bis zum Jahr 2034 dauern - “so Gott will”, zitiert der “Kyiv Independent” aus einem Interview des ukrainischen Portals LB.ua. 2014 habe dieser begonnen. Damals hatte Russland völkerrechtswidrig die Krim annektiert. Saluschnyjs Einschätzung nach setzt Russland inzwischen mehr auf einen Zermürbungskrieg als auf direkte Angriffe.
src: click
original source: click
Für die die mitgerechnet haben, genau, wir haben dann gerade das Sanktionspaket Nr. 72 der Europäischen Union verabschiedet.
Gut sagen sie, aber die hat so einen starken Akzent, da ist es so schwer zuzuhören, … Zum einen, nein - ists nicht zum anderen -
Hello AI (Kimi K2)!
Key Talking Points – Interview with Marta Havryshko
Plain-HTML structured summary (no CSS) in the order discussed.
1. Current Military Situation
- Russian drone & missile campaign
- New record: >700 drones launched in a single night.
- Civilian casualties; residential buildings and infrastructure hit.
- Territorial losses
- Ukraine is losing 15–20 km² per day.
- No credible plan to regain lost territory.
- Kursk incursion backlash
- Initially framed as morale-booster; now seen as strategic blunder.
- Senior commanders (e.g., Syrskyi) avoid direct criticism but hint “history will judge.”
2. Corruption & Elite Privilege
- Daily corruption scandals
- Deputy PM accused of embezzling ~₴1 billion; released on trivial bail.
- MPs & officials flaunt new cars/apartments while citizens told to donate for weapons.
- Reverse Robin-Hood effect
- War enriches the well-connected; poor cannot pay bribes to dodge conscription.
3. Forced Conscription & Human-Rights Abuses
- Territorial Recruitment Centers (TRCs) as symbols of tyranny
- Street-level “kidnappings” caught on video.
- Two documented deaths from beatings (Transcarpathia & Poltava regions).
- Social-media cheering when TRCs are hit by Russian missiles → government intimidation campaign (interrogations, “treason” charges).
- Selective & punitive draft
- Children of elites exempt; critics & journalists suddenly receive call-up papers.
- Martial-law loopholes allow conscription as punishment for dissent.
4. Demographic Collapse & Worker Shortage
- 40 % of working-age population already gone (per Ministry of Social Policy).
- Need 4–5 million additional workers to rebuild the economy.
- Proposed guest-worker schemes (Argentina, Colombia, Bangladesh) spark xenophobic backlash.
- Male exodus
- 2022: mostly women & children fled.
- 2023-24: draft-age men with families; tens of thousands pay smugglers or pose as musicians/conference-goers to escape.
5. Propaganda, Censorship & “Dictatorship” Dynamics
- State-controlled media narrative
- Glorifies “glorious death for Ukraine”, dismisses critics as Russian agents.
- Personal sanctions by Zelenskyy
- Bypass courts; targets journalists (e.g., Arestovych, Butusov) and opposition figures.
- Council of Europe labels the practice unconstitutional.
- Shrinking press freedom
- U.S.-funded outlets now join state-led vilification of sanctioned voices.
- “Collaboration” statutes criminalize even critical social-media comments.
6. Institute of National Memory & Historical Revisionism
- Appointment of Oleksandr Alfyorov
- Historian, ex-press officer for Azov Regiment (2014-15), later ideological trainer for 3rd Assault Brigade.
- Organized 2023 Kyiv exhibit lionizing 14th Waffen-SS Division “Galicia” (Nazi collaborators).
- Interview surfaced praising Hitler’s “education and culture”; downplays Ukrainian nationalist pogroms (1918-21).
- Funding irony
- Institute’s salaries paid from a budget ~50 % financed by Western taxpayers—raising ethical questions for Holocaust scholars and survivors.
7. Western Policy & Proxy-War Framing
- NATO/EU fatigue
- Only ~15 % of Poles willing to send troops.
- German commander openly hopes Ukraine “keeps fighting until 2030” while Europe rearms.
- Instrumentalization narrative
- War viewed in Western capitals as a way to “bleed Russia” rather than a Ukrainian existential struggle.
Overall Summary
Domain | Core Message |
---|---|
Battlefield | Ukraine is hemorrhaging territory, men and morale; no coherent strategy to reverse the trend. |
Corruption | Elite graft is siphoning funds and eroding the last shreds of public trust. |
Human Rights | Forced conscription, beatings and deaths in TRCs are driving domestic outrage, not just Russian propaganda. |
Demography | The war is emptying the country of its workforce; plans to import labor collide with rising xenophobia. |
Governance | Zelenskyy’s personal sanctions, censorship and selective draft point toward authoritarian consolidation. |
Historical Policy | State-sponsored glorification of WWII Nazi collaborators undermines Ukraine’s moral standing—and is bankrolled by the West. |
International Role | Western rhetoric masks a proxy-war calculus in which Ukrainian lives are expendable for geopolitical gain. |
In short: a convergence of military stalemate, systemic corruption, demographic collapse and creeping authoritarianism has produced a “mood of disappointment” among ordinary Ukrainians, who increasingly see no “light at the end of the tunnel.”
War is hell.
Slava!