Lets play a fun game of “how sure is the CIA

01. Januar 2026

Green dot: Putin Residence

Bildschirmfoto 2026 01 01 um 11 52 12

Ui, ui, ui, ui .…

Tar­gets picked by Grok == bet­ter due dili­gence than the Israe­lis have in place.

Q: Regi­on is Nov­go­rod (Now­go­rod) - what would be potentials?

- Soltsy-2 Air Base: Loca­ted near Solt­sy, appro­xi­mate­ly 160 km from Val­dai. It’s a signi­fi­cant air­ba­se housing stra­te­gic bom­bers (e.g., Tu-22M3) and has been the site of con­fir­med Ukrai­ni­an dro­ne strikes in the past, such as in 2023. This fits as a high-value mili­ta­ry tar­get in the regi­on, with reports of dama­ge to aircraft.

- Koto­vo Arse­nal (13th Arse­nal of the Main Mis­si­le and Artil­le­ry Direc­to­ra­te): Situa­ted near Koto­vo in the Okul­ovs­ky District, about 50 km from Val­dai. This faci­li­ty stores mis­si­les, artil­le­ry ammu­ni­ti­on, and pos­si­b­ly Iskan­der or North Korean-supplied sys­tems. It was hit by Ukrai­ni­an dro­nes in Novem­ber 2024, lea­ding to evacua­tions and explosions.

- Kre­che­vit­sy Air­field: Near Veli­ky Nov­go­rod (about 11 km nor­the­ast), this was form­er­ly a Rus­si­an Air For­ce base but is now pri­ma­ri­ly civi­li­an. It may still have limi­ted mili­ta­ry uti­li­ty or infrastructure.

https://grok.com/share/bGVnYWN5LWNvcHk_c083e4e8-d723-4a69-9643-6fa743ed96a1

And what was Trump told? 🙂

US-Präsident Trump pos­tet russ­land­kri­ti­schen Artikel

Am Tag, an dem Trump laut Infor­ma­tio­nen der Sen­der PBS und CNN von CIA-Chef John Rat­clif­fe über die Erkennt­nis­se unter­rich­tet wor­den war, teil­te der US-Präsident dann aller­dings über­ra­schend einen sehr russ­land­kri­ti­schen Arti­kel auf sei­ner Platt­form Truth Social. Unter ande­rem heißt es dort, jeder Angriff auf Putin sei “mehr als gerecht­fer­tigt”. “Wir brau­chen sei­ne Kro­ko­dils­trä­nen nicht, statt­des­sen soll­te der Druck erhöht werden”.

edit: Ori­gi­nal WP phrasing:

The U.S. found that Ukrai­ne had been see­king to strike a mili­ta­ry tar­get loca­ted in the same regi­on as Putin’s coun­try resi­dence but not clo­se by, the offi­cial said.

src: click

Defi­ne not clo­se by.

edit: Ui, Rus­sia released a map with flightpaths!

Green dot: Putin residence.

Bildschirmfoto 2026 01 01 um 16 54 21src: click (TOI)

So, accord­ing to that 2/3 were on track for Vili­ky Nov­go­rod, but one third was aiming for Koto­vo Nov­go­rod (direct­ly abo­ve the Putin residence).

Also accord­ing to rus­sia, about 40 dro­nes, still had a flight­path insi­de Novgrorod.

Even more fun, they were pro­bab­ly shut down in Nov­go­rod by the Pantsir-S1s at the Putin residence.

In fact the mean distance of every dro­ne shot down on the rus­si­an map to Putins resi­dence is 70km.

Uhhhm. CIA?

Miles or kilo­me­ters plea­se? For the ones, you saw in Nov­go­rod, but not “clo­se by” Putins resi­dence. Becau­se accord­ing to the rus­si­an flight­paths ALL of the 40 dro­nes shut down in Nov­go­rod were clo­se to Putins residence.

Dont lea­ve us han­ging now!

Could the CIA plea­se be a bit more ver­bo­se on “not clo­se by”?









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