harlekin.me

src: click

Timing mat­ters.

Die Ukrai­ne kann sich im Moment aus­su­chen, ob sie Pokrovsk, oder Kon­sti­an­ty­ni­vka ver­tei­digt, oder gegen einen Push nord­wärts Rich­tung Novodonetske.

Alle drei Din­ge wird sie nicht schaf­fen. Im wahr­schein­lichs­ten Fall sind sowohl Pokrovsk als auch Kon­sti­an­ty­ni­vka Ende des Jah­res weg.

Wenn dann die Ver­tei­di­gungs­grä­ben wei­ter hin­ten so aus­se­hen wie um Pokrovsk zur Zeit ist Donezk weg.

Du kannst dich nicht mit Ver­hand­lun­gen spie­len wie mit einem fuck­ing Jojo.

Laut US assess­ment könn­te Russ­land Ende des Jah­res wie­der ver­han­deln wol­len. Die 40.000 Sol­da­ten in den Kes­seln sind dann tot, oder in Gefan­ge­schaft, oder schwer traumatisiert.

Gro­tesk schlech­te assess­ments der Füh­rungs­rie­ge, wie bud­dy bud­dy man mit der US Regie­rung nicht sei, haben Auswirkungen.

Ich mein, ich neh­me an, dass Russ­land aktu­ell ein “uncon­di­tio­nal sur­ren­der” akzep­tie­ren wür­de - aber nicht son­der­lich viel mehr.

Die­se Som­mer­of­fen­si­ve läuft bis zum Ende.

edit: Let me cor­rect mys­elf, this was the usu­al only Putin and I Selen­skyj can meet and end it all gam­bit again. So Ukrai­nes usu­al non peace offer peace offer.

edit2: Moment, ich seh gera­de ntv hat einen Tag spä­ter her­aus­ge­fun­den ja - die Ankün­di­gung ist der typi­sche Ukrai­ne Fake­out, aber der ist posi­ti­ve and honest, weil er die US im Sin­ne Euro­pas mani­pu­lie­ren soll.

Kein Scherz:

Ver­pas­sen sie nicht:

Die viel­leicht letz­ten 24 Stun­den von Pro­krovsk - also unter der aktu­el­len poli­ti­schen Verwaltung:

Office of the Direc­tor of Natio­nal Intelligence:

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
ODNI News Release No. 15-25
July 18, 2025

New Evi­dence of Oba­ma Admi­nis­tra­ti­on Con­spi­ra­cy to Sub­vert Pre­si­dent Trump’s 2016 Vic­to­ry and Presidency
WASHINGTON, D.C. – On Fri­day, Direc­tor of Natio­nal Intel­li­gence (DNI) Tul­si Gab­bard reve­a­led over­whel­ming evi­dence that demons­tra­tes how, after Pre­si­dent Trump won the 2016 elec­tion against Hil­la­ry Clin­ton, Pre­si­dent Oba­ma and his natio­nal secu­ri­ty cabi­net mem­bers manu­fac­tu­red and poli­ti­ci­zed intel­li­gence to lay the ground­work for what was essen­ti­al­ly a years-long coup against Pre­si­dent Trump.

In the mon­ths lea­ding up to the Novem­ber 2016 elec­tion, the Intel­li­gence Com­mu­ni­ty (IC) con­sist­ent­ly asses­sed that Rus­sia is “pro­bab­ly not try­ing … to influ­ence the elec­tion by using cyber means.”
On Decem­ber 7, 2016, after the elec­tion, tal­king points were pre­pa­red for DNI James Clap­per sta­ting, “For­eign advers­a­ries did not use cyber­at­tacks on elec­tion infra­st­ruc­tu­re to alter the US Pre­si­den­ti­al elec­tion outcome.”
On Decem­ber 9, 2016, Pre­si­dent Obama’s White House gathe­red top Natio­nal Secu­ri­ty Coun­cil Princi­pals for a mee­ting that inclu­ded James Clap­per, John Brenn­an, Sus­an Rice, John Ker­ry, Loret­ta Lynch, Andrew McCa­be and others, to dis­cuss Russia.
After the mee­ting, DNI Clapper’s Exe­cu­ti­ve Assi­stant sent an email to IC lea­ders tas­king them with crea­ting a new IC assess­ment “per the President’s request” that details the “tools Moscow used and actions it took to influ­ence the 2016 elec­tion.” It went on to say, “ODNI will lead this effort with par­ti­ci­pa­ti­on from CIA, FBI, NSA, and DHS.”
Oba­ma offi­cials lea­ked fal­se state­ments to media out­lets, inclu­ding The Washing­ton Post, clai­ming, “Rus­sia has attemp­ted through cyber means to inter­fe­re in, if not actively influ­ence, the out­co­me of an election.”
On Janu­a­ry 6, 2017, a new Intel­li­gence Com­mu­ni­ty Assess­ment was released that direct­ly con­tra­dic­ted the IC assess­ments that were made throughout the pre­vious six months.
After mon­ths of inves­ti­ga­ti­on into this mat­ter, the facts reve­al this new assess­ment was based on infor­ma­ti­on that was known by tho­se invol­ved to be manu­fac­tu­red i.e. the Stee­le Dos­sier or deemed as not credi­ble. This was poli­ti­ci­zed intel­li­gence that was used as the basis for count­less sme­ars see­king to dele­gi­ti­mi­ze Pre­si­dent Trump’s vic­to­ry, the years-long Muel­ler inves­ti­ga­ti­on, two Con­gres­sio­nal impeach­ments, high level offi­cials being inves­ti­ga­ted, arres­ted, and thrown in jail, heigh­te­ned US-Russia ten­si­ons, and more.

src: click

Die Flash­backs zu mei­ner Alp­bach “assess­ment” Dis­kus­si­on wer­den stär­ker und stärker.

(Das kann man nicht sagen. War­um nicht? Das kann man nicht sagen. War­um nicht? Das kann man nicht sagen. War­um nicht? Na gut, es ist wahr­schein­lich, dass es Russ­land war.

War­um mans nicht sagen kann? Da “die CIA hats der WP gele­akt” kei­ne jour­na­lis­ti­sche Quel­le ist. Nicht dass das im deutsch­spra­chi­gen Jour­na­lis­mus irgend­je­mand aner­ken­nen würde…)

src: click (Poli­ti­co)

ASPEN, Colo­ra­do — The natio­nal secu­ri­ty eli­tes gathe­red in this moun­tain retre­at this week are fin­ding them­sel­ves play­ing defen­se about their beliefs, moti­va­tions and patrio­tism — and whe­ther they even deser­ve atten­ti­on from the peop­le in power.

It’s a result of the Trump administration’s 11th hour decisi­on to pull near­ly all of its spea­kers from the annu­al Aspen Secu­ri­ty Forum, with the Pen­ta­gon alle­ging that the gathe­ring “pro­mo­tes the evil of globalism.”

edit: If you ever wan­ted to hear Con­do­leez­za Rice tell an audi­ence, that no one knows what would make rus­sia stop, thats your video: