harlekin.me

Have Ukrai­ni­an Dro­nes Real­ly Kno­cked Out 38% of Russia’s Oil Refi­ning Capacity?

Kyiv’s unpre­ce­den­ted strike cam­pai­gn on Rus­si­an oil refi­ne­ries has inflic­ted serious—but likely not critical—damage on the country’s abi­li­ty to pro­du­ce fuel.

src: click (carnegieendowment.org)

The­se details and nuan­ces reve­al them­sel­ves in sta­tis­tics. Accord­ing to Rus­si­an news­pa­per Kom­mer­s­ant, gaso­li­ne out­put has fal­len 10%. Indus­try ana­lysts, who might have access to non-public sources, esti­ma­te Rus­sia is cur­r­ent­ly refi­ning just under 5 mil­li­on bar­rels a day (a 38% reduc­tion in capa­ci­ty would mean the figu­re was 4 mil­li­on bar­rels per day).

Total volu­me per day without reduc­tion (x): 6.45 mil­li­on bar­rels per day.

Actu­al per­cen­ta­ge for 5 mil­li­on bar­rels per day: 77.42% of ori­gi­nal capa­ci­ty (or a 22.58% reduction).

Or 38 per­cent. Wel­co­me to ukrai­ni­an math.
Even rus­si­an math is more accu­ra­te at 10 percent.

Even more fun:

Rus­sia pro­du­ces 16 per­cent more gaso­li­ne than it requi­res for domestic con­sump­ti­on, and almost twice as much die­sel. In addi­ti­on, Russia’s pro­duc­tion of naph­tha could meet 60 per­cent of the country’s gaso­li­ne needs (with addi­ti­ves, naph­tha can, if necessa­ry, be made into Euro-3 gasoline).

I know - the ques­ti­on on ever­yo­nes mind now…

So rus­si­an tanks use die­sel fuel or gasoline?

Well you goog­le that on your own.

Thank god for ger­man spea­king news media.

For the moment, it’s unclear who will come out on top in the batt­le over Russia’s oil refineries—only time will tell. While the 38 per­cent figu­re may be based on real data, it’s a long way from accu­rate­ly reflec­ting the nuan­ce of the pre­sent situation.

Whe­re every news item is a ukrai­ni­an pro­pa­gan­da news item.

Past weeks highlights?

- Toma­hawks are coming
- 38% of gaso­li­ne pro­duc­tion is off­line (Hal­lo noch­mal an den welt.de Kor­re­spon­den­ten, wann Richtigstellung?)
- 170 km² zurückerobert

Alles Lügen.

Die deutsch­spra­chi­gen Medi­en machen ihren Job nicht mehr. Die Pro­pa­gan­da zu regur­gi­ta­ten die man ihnen in den Mund fickt ist ein­fa­cher und spannender!

Und sie wis­sen ja, was sie machen, wenn etwas ein­fa­cher UND span­nen­der ist, nicht?

(Gut, wenn dpa, apa und sda 1:1 die sel­ben Mel­dun­gen bringen, …)

Aber man kennt das ja, die Ukrai­ne wie­der voll am gewinnen.

Veröffentlicht by me am Sonntag, 05. Oktober 2025 unter Allgemein, Media.