The Future of Blackrock, I mean Ukraine

12. Juli 2023

You know, they are in clo­sed doors right now, in Vil­ni­us, try­ing to ham­mer out what that means - what Biden said [Ukrai­ne being on the way to Nato, but no mem­bers­hip plan yet, being made inter­ope­ra­ble with Nato], I think the­re is such pres­su­re, to find a way to inclu­de Ukrai­ne, but not ful­ly inclu­de Ukrai­ne. What I think you know, the­re was a con­fe­rence at the begin­ning of June in Lon­don about recon­struc­tion of Ukrai­ne. One would hope that at this gathe­ring, the­re would be some atten­ti­on payed to what may mean a tril­li­on dol­lars for the world com­mu­ni­ty [rebuil­ding cos­ts of Ukrai­ne] and what was ponied up in Lon­don was some­thing like 15 bil­li­on [lar­ge­ly part of the EU recon­struc­tion fund, to be payed out in tran­ches, btw.]. The­re are reports now, that Zelen­skyy has set up an office in Kiev for eco­no­mic deve­lo­p­ment which Black­rock has play­ed a major role in, so I fear that as we wit­nessed the mili­ta­riz­a­ti­on and the war pro­cee­ding, the future of Ukrai­ne is being nego­tia­ted in other places […]

Ahhh… so gut das zu hören! Wo doch Selen­skyj noch am ers­ten Tag der Geber­kon­fe­renz in Lon­don ver­laut­ba­ren las­sen hat er müs­se sich selbst (!) noch einen öko­no­mi­schen Plan für die Ukrai­ne ausdenken!

Ja, ja. Denk. Denk.

Sei­ne ers­te Idee war ja eigent­lich Rock Red. Das war ihm dann aber zu wenig patriotisch.

Dann ist er ver­mut­lich bei Blue, yel­low Rock als Namen für den Auf­bau­plan gelan­det, weil er sich gedacht hat - fangt er halt ein­mal mit dem Namen an, der ist ja auch nicht unwichtig.

Dann haben Selen­skyj aber gott­sei­dank sei­ne Bera­ter doch noch davon über­zeu­gen kön­nen, dass er doch bes­ser Black­rock nimmt, dann muss er sich auch nicht so schwer noch wei­ter was über­le­gen, und kann sofort ins Kin­der­zim­mer zurück um mit dem grau­en Pan­zer zu spie­len, den er erst im März vom Groß­va­ti geschenkt bekom­men hat.

*hust­keuch*

Kommt zurück in die Ukrai­ne, geflüch­te­te Ukrai­ner! In ein Land das auf­grund der akti­ven US Mili­tär­stra­te­gie noch meh­re­re Jah­re im Krieg ver­blei­ben wird - das aber bereits jetzt mit Infra­struk­tur­in­vest­ments begin­nen muss, damit ihm nicht noch mehr Ein­woh­ner weg­ren­nen - auch wenn die­se dann zer­bombt wer­den dürf­ten. Das aktu­ell “wir bau­en Kin­der­gär­ten” Spots im Staats­fern­se­hen sen­den muss, weil es demo­gra­phisch bereits Rich­tung ter­mi­nal decli­ne unter­wegs ist (Hälf­te der Bevöl­ke­rung weg, und zwar die jün­ge­re, bes­ser aus­ge­bil­de­te) -- und des­sen öko­no­mi­sche und insti­tu­tio­nel­le Zukunft nun­mehr seit drei Wochen von Black­rock gestal­tet wird!

Wo kann ich mich für die Staats­bür­ger­schaft anmel­den? Ich mei­ne, damit ich dann auto­ma­tisch EU Bür­ger wer­de natür­lich, also wenn ich nicht schon einer wäre.

Eigent­lich 1A die­ses “die Ukrai­ne muss alles selbst ent­schei­den” Kon­zept - die­ser so bestim­men­de Wahl­spruch euro­päi­scher, was wars noch gleich…? Sor­ry hab das Wort ver­ges­sen, kann nicht jemand bei McK­in­sey anru­fen, damit die ab jetzt mei­ne Blog­ein­trä­ge schreiben?

Macron darf ja seit dem Monat nicht noch mehr exter­ne Bera­ter ein­stel­len… Da kön­nen die da doch sicher einen abstellen.

Macron govt must limit use of pri­va­te con­sul­tancy firms, watch­dog says

France’s government must fur­ther rein in some­ti­mes “inap­pro­pria­te” hiring of con­sul­tanci­es, the country’s Court of Audi­tors said Mon­day, respon­ding to public out­cry over an issue that hob­bled Pre­si­dent Emma­nu­el Macron’s reelec­tion cam­pai­gn last year.

src: click

Naja wenigs­tens McK­in­sey und nicht Black­rock… Sor­ry Ukrai­ne, die Ukrai­ne mei­ne ich. 

Der gehts ja aktu­ell nur mehr nur so, so…

Hab ich gehört.

Wobei sich aber auch Black­rock die attrak­tivs­ten Inves­ti­ti­ons­ob­jek­te als ers­tes her­aus­su­chen darf. Als Vermittlungsprovision.

edit: Sor­ry, ich Dum­mer­le, McK­in­sey ist natür­lich eben­falls ein­ge­bun­den… Ich mein, wie konnt ich nur…

So many of today’s long-term chal­len­ges are best addres­sed through blen­ded finan­ce and this is one. You need the­se vehi­cles to mobi­li­se capi­tal at sca­le,” said Black­Rock vice-chair Phil­ipp Hil­de­brand, who will be dis­cus­sing the work on Wednesday.

The World Bank esti­ma­ted in March that Ukrai­ne would need $411bn to rebuild after the war, and recent Rus­si­an attacks have dri­ven that figu­re higher.

The Kyiv government enga­ged BlackRock’s con­sul­ting arm in Novem­ber to deter­mi­ne how best to attract that kind of capi­tal, and then added JPMor­gan in Febru­a­ry. [Sicher eine Euro­päi­sche Bank, die­se JPMor­gan, nicht? Wo wir doch die Mehr­heit des finan­zi­el­len Invest­ments stel­len. Oder? Nein? Scha­de eigent­lich.] Ukrai­ne pre­si­dent Volo­dym­yr Zelen­skyy announ­ced last mon­th that the coun­try was working with the two finan­cial groups and con­sul­tants at McKinsey.

[…]

Black­Rock and JPMor­gan are dona­ting their ser­vices, alt­hough the work will give them an ear­ly look at pos­si­ble invest­ments in the coun­try. The assign­ment also deepens JPMorgan’s rela­ti­ons­hip with a long­stan­ding cli­ent. The bank has hel­ped Ukrai­ne rai­se more than $25bn in sov­er­eign debt sin­ce 2010 and led the country’s $20bn debt rest­ruc­tu­ring last year.

The finan­ciers con­sul­ted with pri­va­te and public sec­tor inves­tors and found they wan­ted to help Ukrai­ne but were lee­ry not just about war los­ses but also the country’s gover­nan­ce, lack of trans­pa­ren­cy and shal­low capi­tal markets.

What Ukrai­ne nee­ded, Black­Rock advi­sed, was a deve­lo­p­ment finan­ce bank to find invest­ment oppor­tu­nities in sec­tors such as infra­st­ruc­tu­re, cli­ma­te and agri­cul­tu­re and make them attrac­ti­ve to pen­si­on funds and other long-term inves­tors and len­ders. JPMor­gan was brought in part­ly for its debt expertise.

The fund is being set up to also give public and pri­va­te sec­tor inves­tors the oppor­tu­ni­ty to invest into spe­ci­fic pro­jects and sec­tors,” said Ste­fan Wei­ler, JPMorgan’s head of debt capi­tal mar­kets for cen­tral Euro­pe, Midd­le East and Afri­ca. “The­re will be dif­fe­rent sec­to­ral funds that the fund iden­ti­fied as prio­ri­ties for Ukrai­ne. The aim is maxi­mi­se capi­tal participation.”

The struc­tu­re calls for the fund to use the lower-cost public money, known as con­ces­sio­nal capi­tal, to make initi­al invest­ments and absorb the first losses.

The noti­on is that this initi­al seed capi­tal would be a de-risking mecha­nism, and it would crea­te the poten­ti­al for pri­va­te sec­tor capi­tal to come in at sca­le,” said Bran­don Hall, co-head of BlackRock’s Finan­cial Mar­kets Advi­so­ry arm. “Ukrai­ne will have its own orga­ni­sa­ti­on to source and syn­di­ca­te the­se local invest­ment opportunities.”

To over­co­me inves­tor con­cerns about gover­nan­ce, the fund is expec­ted to stock its board with repre­sen­ta­ti­ves of inter­na­tio­nal finan­cial insti­tu­ti­ons and governments and hire invest­ment pro­fes­sio­nals to exe­cu­te its strategy.

Our view is that if you have a strong gover­nan­ce struc­tu­re and an inter­na­tio­nal­ly credi­ble set of sta­ke­hol­ders who are in the lea­ders­hip posi­ti­on in this fund, then that will go a long way,” Hall said.

BlackRock’s advice has drawn on its work for the Sau­di Natio­nal Deve­lo­p­ment Fund and the Cli­ma­te Finan­ce Part­ners­hip, a blen­ded finan­ce vehi­cle that directs invest­ment into sus­taina­bi­li­ty pro­jects in emer­ging mar­kets. McK­in­sey did not respond to a request for comment.

At pre­sent, the Ukrai­ne work is focu­sed on set­ting up the struc­tu­re, gover­nan­ce and prac­ti­cal pro­ce­du­res becau­se most inves­tors want to wait for the end of hos­ti­li­ties. “The important part is that Ukrai­ne is alrea­dy thin­king ahead,” Wei­ler said. “When the war is over, they’re going to want to be rea­dy and start the rebuil­ding pro­cess immediately.”

src: click









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