Der designierte US-Präsident Donald Trump sagte am Dienstag auf jener Pressekonferenz, über die wir bereits berichtet haben, dass er mit der russischen Position sympathisiere, dass die Ukraine nicht Teil der Nato sein sollte, und er beklagte, dass er den russischen Präsidenten Wladimir Putin nicht vor seiner Amtseinführung treffen werde. Trump gab auch dem scheidenden demokratischen Präsidenten Joe Biden die Schuld, weil er angeblich die Position der USA zur Nato-Mitgliedschaft der Ukraine geändert habe.
Das war unter der Hand die Position, von Frankreich, Deutschland, der Türkei, Griechenland, Kanada, Portugal, den USA, …
Aber kaum zieht man das in den Bereich des tatsächlich Ausgesprochenen nennt der Standard das “die Russische Position” - und nein, das hier ist keine Detailfrage - sondern die Frage der Vorgabe einer Scheinrealität - und wie sehr man als ehemaliges Qualitätsmedium darauf beharrt, dass Leute so tun müssten als sei sie real.
edit: Ich habe Belgien, Slowenien und Spanien vergessen: click
edit2: HORROR! EILT! Sogar BLINKEN spekuliert mit der RUSSISCHENPOSITION!1!11!
18.01 Uhr: Blinken: Jedes Ukraine-Abkommen muss Russland abschrecken
Jede zukünftige Vereinbarung zur Beendigung des Krieges in der Ukraine muss Abschreckungsmaßnahmen enthalten, um weitere Angriffe Russlands zu verhindern - so US-Außenminister Antony Blinken bei einem Besuch in Paris. Der russische Präsident Wladimir Putin werde jede Waffenruhe nutzen, um die russischen Streitkräfte neu auszurüsten und die Ukraine erneut anzugreifen.
I saw an older episode of the same talk format with the same moderator yesterday - which is now forever lost in the ether, because youtube search is bad and I didnt note down the title or age -- but what really, really is striking to me is the rapid degeneration of the quality of “experts on media”.
The older clip was maybe 10 or 15 years old - and the experts where those late nineties “the internet is our libertarian playground” vibe techies, that still were fun to listen to.
They tried their best. They were idealistic. They had ideas that were interesting to listen to. They knew, that they dont know it all.
And now - after an entire generation of puritanism and self imposed facebook reputation “angst”, followed by self censorship - you get
- the ideological preacher with the protestant vibes, and the goth alure to attract female students (perfect half shadow on his face on camera)
- the completely bland mother superior of the order “everything is right is what we decide”
- the usual metrosexual “future leader” that is on message like a drone, so yo know he got scholarships through his teeth and his first job from someone aging and wanting to promote half of the people from a younger generation he meets in the alps
and
- the bureaucrat european computer driving license trainee, that now scored a government job, is still unsure of himself, but probably knows the most about tech of everyone on the panel
and all of them now are --
-- The digital experts of France 24 --
and I still like France 24, and I like the moderator. But I would never, in my life get advice on anything of public interest, or even in digital matters, from any of the four.
They are much too buisy keeping up a self image, to know anything of value.
So, they do what media experts always do - and repeat stories, which they have read on non digital media, to show how experty, experts they are. And they get some parts right, but in the middle of the second sentence their puritanical reflexes kick in and they already want to forbid everything for everyone -- or they are waaaayyy to much into telling themself the story how Musk was never liked in school and is now overcompensating.
But also a Bond villain, because we just cant read his algorithm well enough - its probably the key to life, god and the universe.
But also probably self interested, so we dont know, how he will shape the world economy in his interest, with all his Bond villaines and his Hardcore gamer past!
And hes addicted to social media.
*He never stopped playing games, he is a man child* they wisper to each other on air. Yes - and I heard, he even wants to play connective tissue and enabler of a far right international!
Yes to all of this. To some extent. Also yes to the “he cant sleep”, and “lives within his bubble”, and the probably is a user, and cant control himself between the lines, and the “overcompensates” his percieved previous shortcomings. And plays political influencer that hands around 100s of millions to right wing policy groups.
But then to some extent he is also birthing a political movement of people on the outskirts of society. Which under the “woke” establisment censorship policy should never exist without being algorithmically downranked, silenced, forgotten and shunned.
So if you actually give credence to the notion, that this social media thing is something new, and societies have to learn how to deal with it. You dont entirely deal with it for them, much less in a way - where you only promote puritanical robots into expert positions, applauded to by the one future leader, that checks his makeup, while someone else is talking on the panel (not the moderator btw).
So here is the rough cut:
Racism, and far right populism (which is probably the most effective kind of populism - with a very high quality of memes produced) is its own accelerator on social media. It spreads like nothing else. Tadaaa. Thats the magic of the algo.
Musk, historically - when he took over Twitter saw what algorithmic censorship the “woke crowd” together with state department partners were engaged in. Found the poor rightwing trending coder soul and gamer within the company - and probably promoted them lead something of the future trajectory of the company.
And in the effort to counter the algorithmic censorship they saw and endured, they tried to hardball it, and to get rid of most of it - and now rightwing populism is way overrepresented there, because it is a natural accelerant.
At the same time, they are trying to innovate in the space - and actually created something with community notes - which are explainations on social media threads, that get pinned, when people who usually dont agree on political outlooks, suddenly heavily agree on something. Its not a perfect thing, its not a wonderful fix, but at least its interesting.
Yes Musk likely manipulates the reach of his own twitter feed, yes - there are ad hoc manipulations of the status quo, that likely he, or few people decide over, as were there in the past. Yes none of this is transparent. And no he doesnt allow government departments to do the same, like twitter did before.
Yes - he often is wrong, and into a pretty reactionary right wing bubble.
So attention to what he does is warranted.
But so far, he has “just” put on a platform a group within society that has self radicalized on the edges of society being marginalized algorithmically. With the new addition of also doing this in real political life with millions of dollars in funding.
I’d be far less sympathetic to it, if this were not the likely “antidote” to the self censoring, virtue signaling, woke puritanism of the age - that knows everything --- and still is wrong most of the time.
As long as he facilitates discussion/exchange of ideas and does not suppress or seek to sideline it. Or promote anti humanist, unethical, and so on ideas - I’m somewhat OK with that.
In fact, that we now have a debate where the German chancellor can react with “dont feed the troll” is indicative of a societal learning process in social media literacy.
Will he overdo it - yes, likely so. Simply because right wing populism (as a shorthand, just think of their memes), is a hyperscaler on its own, but please lets tackle it - when we get there.
The worries that he uses the “rapegangs” tropes as an artificial booster for rightwing groups in germany and england are totally legit.
But before your digital experts get into “James Bond villain” deliberation of how this is his masterplan to advance his corporate empire through a societal powershift -- also consider, that for advertisers it was the least sexy thing he could do - and in some sense hes also just Kekius Maximus, the guy that cant sleep - is triggered by perceived injustice to children, and identifies with the outcast self radicalized guy that was banned from twitter, because of something he found important to say -- to some extent.
Then add a bit of the circumstantialness of “free speech” having an entirely different significance within US society - and the US never having suffered from the same historical backstory, that europe has.
So keep watch - but stick your dreadful puritanism.
Spoken as someone, that to this day doesnt know why the heck “we should now rethink our migration policy” in europe over something that apparently changed in the mainstream over the last five years, that makes it impossible to integrate 200.000 people in germany a year. Yet, every CDU politician fakes knowing it by feel - because suddenly, social media was full of people telling them, that this is the next big issue they cared about. Why that exactly became “a mainstream, middle of society” opinion is still pretty murky to me. (And yes I know about migration risk issues under climate change. And the cost/insurance issues that go hand in hand with it. And yes, the last green party administration in germany I consider about the most tonedeath political “nudgers” ever in existence in a government, but at least the generation over 60 already has forgiven them, and already wants excactly that back for their grandchildren…)
So maybe its that, why I suggest to also let us have a little Elon Musk.
I agree on the “I dont see how this (his behavior) is sustainable” front, so I expect a crash and burn, but at least whats being created is not so effing puritanical all the time.
edit: A few moments later… (Earlier, but I didnt read it before.)
«Es ging zu weit»: Mark Zuckerberg gesteht ein Übermass an Zensur auf Instagram und Facebook ein und beendet die Zusammenarbeit mit Faktencheckern
Bisher arbeitete Meta mit externen Dienstleistern zusammen, um Falschinformationen als solche zu erkennen und einzuordnen. Nun sollen Facebook und Instagram stattdessen die Schwarmintelligenz im Netzwerk nutzen. Es ist ein Schritt zu einer Neuausrichtung des Konzerns.
Französischer Präsident Macron will Realismus bei Territorialfragen
Nach Ansicht des französischen Präsidenten Emmanuel Macron sollte die ukrainische Regierung eine realistische Haltung bezüglich territorialer Ansprüche einnehmen, um Verhandlungen mit Russland zu führen. Dies sagte er am Montag bei der jährlichen Konferenz französischer Botschafter, bei der Frankreichs außenpolitische Strategie für das neue Jahr dargelegt wurde.
Gut, in Deutschland gibts noch immer keine Qualitäts-Zeitung in der du diese Meinung veröffentlicht bekommen würdest, aber die Franzosen sind ja immer die Liberalsten…
Aber die Neocon Freunde unter den Transatlantikern werden einfach wieder die Geldbörse spielen lassen - und Macron ist eh schon beinahe weg vom Fenster… Fuck the EU, right?
They booked him just for that. (The video title of the second video states in german. NTV is one of the three major german news (only) channels.)
I’m at minute 36. So far Selenskyj
- lied that he didnt receive any reaction to his russian overthrow your government video message on Telegram - he did, the rockets four hours later were the reaction.
- compared Putin to Hitler for about 20 minutes
- lied, that he didnt receive any help (which he redefined as sanctions, not weapons) from the US before the russian attack. (Compare to this Blinken statement: click)
This is great stuff -- do two more of those interviews, and the Trump administration will cancel his meetings, just to save face.
He continues to describe his first work day post invasion:
- They took him to a meeting, many people were there that talked about all kind of stuff. He had to be president so he made a decision about some food stuff, they took him to a sockpuppet press event, he handed out weapons, then he made a television clip, and worked on his video blog. Much leader of the country, much. Even though he had managing experience in TV production before, he just concentrated on playing a propaganda role, he clearly states - the rest other people managed for him. It amazes him, that he - for all people in his country became THEINFORMATIONSOURCE. Much honor. Much greatness. Because people were magically cut off from all other information, but could still hear him, and his divine ego projection, Selenskyj says. Because it was very important for him to keep all things digital, to keep the Internet. [Russians at that point didnt attack the 3G/4G Infrastructure in Ukraine at all., see also Footnote 47 here: click, See also “In the initial stages of the invasion, with isolated exceptions, Russian forces preserved mobile phone infrastructure largely intact (Chatham House)”] To stay in touch with everyone. With all the people.
- Then he touched things, on video, to show that he wasnt in front of a greenscreen. [You can touch things in front of a green screen, you know?] All of this had an impact. He was actually sure of his actions.
- Then he talked to the international press and told them, that they have to stay here, because he needs Journalists of the international press as media weapons [I’m fucking quoting here…] He told them “You must stop Putin!”, but he spoke to them in russian, so you see - there is no problem, you can still use russian in Ukraine! You see?!!? [Selenskyj refused to do the interview in purely russian.]
- Then Seleskyj tells Lex Friedman, that no one in Russia will hear this conversation, because Putin you know - is actually deaf, you know? He is deaf by his very nature. [He also insinuated that russians are deaf, silent people about 20 minutes before.]
- Then Selenskyj says, that Putin is just different, he is different. Putin is a mammoth that stands before you.
- Then he says, that he shares a position with Trump in “peace through strength” and that “only if you are strong -- if you are strong you can speak”.
…
- Then Selenskyj explains, that “Putin is like Voldemort.” […] “He [Putin] is darkness personified.”
We are at Minute 50 btw.
- Then Selenskyj says, that Putin says, they need to talk. But Ukraine needs to be in a strong position, and not talk. But end the war.
- “Yes, peace through dialog is possible you just need to be -
”
I’m not leaving anything out yet - btw, this is not selective editing. This is how this Interview unfolds.
- Then Selenskyj says, that he used an “all for all exchange” of prisoners during Minsk 2 negotiations to get a shoe in into further negotiations with Putin - he “wanted to have a humanitarian advantage” in negotiations.
- Selenskyj is always fully prepared, when he enters negotiations he says. Not like quote “bare ass Putin”.
- Then, regarding the seize fire, the russians started killing them [where, when, how many, … he doesnt know, in about a month]. So Selenskyj called Putin. “Hey Putin” he said, “we didnt sign a piece of toilet paper, did we? This is serious business!” […] And now they are offering us a christmas seize fire [Selenskyj doesnt know that its after christmas], its all the same! And thats what happened! [Putin feigned to not have any knowledge of the violations.]
Well, not exactly feigned, because:
- Because - meanwhile (through several months), the russians “were sending their snipers”. [So they were loosing, … a person per week at least! Probably high ranking ones!] But, those actually were snipers in training. They were training them.
So Selesnkyj started to pester Putin via telefone, then Putin said, he’ll look into it. But then after just three calls Putin stopped to return Selenskyjs calls! So Selenskyj of course stopped adhering to Minsk 2.
I’m not making this shit up. I kid you not. This is fucking real.
No - look at the ukraines secret service activites around Chernov first. Whos now featured by the Victor Pinchuk foundation. (https://www.russianwarcrimeshouse.org/) (Just search this blog for Hyundai) Who postponed his exit from Mariopol so he could visit a random hospital, to get a doctor to guide them to their morgue, to unwrap a random dead baby, just so they could film it. Its in the movie.
- You see Selenskyj can kill another 200.000 soldiers, just because - of the children in Mariupol. ALLTHECHILDRENINMARIUPOL!
[Selenskyj holds the strong believe, that he will still save them, likely with those 200 tanks he asked for to liberate Mariupol, and never got, he asked his european partners to get that is, on the day he invited the Pope to Kiew to talk to him about peace talks. About six months into the war.]
- Oh, and of course - this is what Trump will do for us, says Selenskyj:
- “because we strong!” Together with Trump.
And Trump has to do it, because “Putins plan is for Trump and me [Selenskyj] to fight -- and
I’d say - kill another half a million people. See what Selenskyj says then.
This is the beauty of Democracy, isnt it? That Manfred Weber and Selenskyj are on the same wavelenght…
I’m now leaving out about 10 minutes of completely insane nonsense, and skip right to
- Selenskyj insists, that we find the people that were responsible for the Budapest memorandum, russians and americans, and jail them all. Including former US presidents. Because: Justice.
- Selenskyj is very angry with the Americans and the French for ghosting him over the Budapest memorandum:
- Selenskyj then openly states, that both Minsk agreements were the same useless shit (“second cart on the same train”). So fuck them as well, no one came. Well, Obama came. And Merkel. And Macron. But they just dindt care about Ukraine at all, like Selenskyj does. Selenskyj states, PAH! People -
Lets kill another half a million people I’d say. Let Selenskyj really work out his problems while he can shout a few more well armed soldiers towards the contact line, I’d say.
Maybe let him meet Manfred Weber, let them talk it out, who of them cares more.
Das ist das Friedensprojekt Europa zur Zeit.
Because because… We.. ehm, we… We really dont have enough soldiers for peace right now. In Europe, you know…
Eine Stunde Dreißig.
Achja, falls noch ein Ukrainischer zu Rekrutierender zusieht. Rennt.
The rest of the interview is essentially Selenskyj not understanding any of the questions he is asked.
Promoting eye for an eye justice, as “what no one will have anything against within the ukrainian justice system”.
And not for the world being able to understand, that in war, there is no universal justice agent. There is no higher authority that hands out justice, and puts things right.
But Selenskyj doesnt understand that. So as the next best thing he will take a dollar check as compensation for his cosmic fury. And people hand them out, because they serve their own tactical goals, and it doesnt make them look bad on social media.
So the thing we created Europe for, that “the personal Vendatta of a COMPLETELY insane, stupid person at the helm of a gouvernment” can never fuck up Europe anymore and draw them in endless wars - is now drawing us into endless wars - because this time, its against evil.
Diese Gesellschaft ist das absolut grotesk und abartigst Allerletzte.
Heuchler, komplette Vollidioten, und Social Media Süchtige streiten um FEELs in der Bevölkerung. Mark Zuckerberg schaut zu, und skimmt 2 cents in Werbegebühren.
Mehr existiert da draussen nicht mehr.
Now give me more money for weapon. I accept check. You can also give me russian money. I’ll pay you with russian money you give me for weapon.
Selenskyj im Original Wortlaut etwas später im Video.
Weil Selenskyj ja die Rolle des uneriversal moralischen Richters übernommen hat. Der die Toten Kinder jedes Ukrainers rächt.
Das ist seine interne Motivation.
At two hours Selenskyj gets into preaching:
Starting at 2:20:00 in there is basically just smalltalk.
Weil sich das als Meldung so scheisse liest, und in Kursk die bestausgebildeten Ukrainischen Einheiten wieder mal ganz in Azow Manier in den Angriff übergegangen sind, um Koreaner zu metzeln, anstatt Stellungen zu halten, hat sich die Ukraine gedacht, featured sie das jetzt als Meldung und baut das propagandatechnisch aus, in dem sie gleich wieder mehr Grundwehrdiener in der Region westlich davon meuchelt. Bringt zwar zum Schutz von Sumy Stadt rein garnichts, ist aber sicher wieder SUUUUUUUPER als Verhandlungspfand, wenn man der Welt zeigen kann, wie super man Grundwehrdiener mit seinen best ausgebildeten Einheiten metzeln kann. Die man aus unerfindlichen Gründen immer noch in Kursk zusammenzieht. Warum eigentlich nicht gleich so mehr auf dem Längengrad von Lwiv? Da erwartets Russland noch weniger.
Achso, ja Lwiv ist so weit von Kiew entfernt, und da spielen die Leute lieber noch Normalität. Schicken sich Selfies und so, gehn ins Cafee - lachen über die Trottel an der Ostfront… Davon wollen wir sie nicht abbringen.
Hier nur mal ein Vergleich wovon wir reden:
Das hier war die tolle, glorreiche, lebensbejahende ukrainische Gegenoffensive in Kursk bisher:
Davor:
Danach:
Und Glushkovo ist aktuell der Ort an dem die Ukraine wieder Grundwehrdiener und Zivilisten “besiegen” möchte.
Gut, dass die US dafür Waffen liefern!
PS: Auf den Karten ist bisher noch nichts zu sehen, aber das Standard Forum holt sich schon wieder derart einen runter, hab ich mir gedacht sprech ichs lieber früher an.
edit: Die Karten von heute 20:00 sind online, der Angriff fand angeblich um 11:00 statt, zu sehen ist nichts. Wollen wirs noch nicht verschreien, denn so ne Kursk offensive deux 15 Tage vor der Trump Inauguration klingt wie Plan A der ukrainischen Propaganda - aber bisher ist da noch nichts Gesichertes.
edit2: Black Bird Group hat ein writeup:
Ukrainians have continued their attacks in Kursk. Today, an armored column advanced towards Bolshoye Soldatskoye, and reportedly fighting is ongoing in other villages too.
I find it unlikely that these actions could produce very significant results. 1/ pic.twitter.com/UPo6R6Jjwt
Ukrainians have continued their attacks in Kursk. Today, an armored column advanced towards Bolshoye Soldatskoye, and reportedly fighting is ongoing in other villages too.
I find it unlikely that these actions could produce very significant results. 1/
The Ukrainians are facing a stronger enemy. It’s possible they achieve some tactical success with the element of surprise, and in the best case scenarios they may be able to enter some villages. In the big picture, however, the general situation will likely remain the same. 2/
The Ukrainians have lost more than half of the area in Kursk that they controlled at most in August-September 2024. Even if the new attacks were to advance ten kilometers, the battles would still be fought in the same general areas where fighting has been going on for months. 3/
It is very difficult to gather a force strong enough to make new operationally significant changes to the situation. Even if the Ukrainians switched focus towards Glushkovo, it would still be an attempt that has already failed once. 4/
Also, if the Ukrainians were to advance to Bolshoye Soldatskoye, they would be making gains in the furthest corners of the salient, which would stretch the frontline without widening the flanks, which the Russians have been gradually pushing back in the last few months. 5/
The offensive in Kursk is currently continuing even in a situation where positions in Donetsk are being constantly lost, and where the front is threateningly approaching the Dnipropetrovsk oblast. The tradeoff for committing more troops in Kursk can cost Ukrainian land. 6/
Overall, Kursk has also had its positive aspects recently. Despite the territorial losses, the Ukrainians have managed to entrench themselves in Kursk, shifting some of the fighting to the Russian soil. Kursk has also seemed to have become a more political issue for Russia. 7/
While the fighting has naturally tied Ukrainian forces, Russia has also brought quality units to the area, such as VDV. They’ve taken heavy losses while advancing relatively little this winter. Ukrainians likely want this to continue, which can explain the latest developments. 8/
Here’s a couple of maps of how the Russians view the situation. According to various Russian channels, Ukrainians have made some initial success, but nothing very major has changed yet. 9/
t.me/divgen/61218
t.me/RVvoenkor/83908
Our team at @Black_BirdGroup continues to follow the developments in Russia and Ukraine. Our interactive map can be found here. 10/10
https://www.scribblemaps.com/maps/view/091194
edit: liveuamap verzeichnet mittlerweile einen Vorstoß von immensen 2.6km. Genommen wurde ein Haus, etwas Feldweg. Ein halbes Feld.
Eingesetzt wurden: Mehrere Störsender, ein halbes Dutzend Bradleys, Überraschungsmoment, …
In der Zwischenzeit in der Lyman Achse mitten im Nirgendwo, Russland nimmt 4.3 km, über nen Fluss mit 4 Moterrädern und nem Elektroroller. Sie hatten aber auch Klappspaten.
edit: Ah, laut Blackbird Group Karte orientiert sich der Angriff vom halben Feld wieder Richtung Autobahn. Das macht zumindest operationstechnisch Sinn. Nimmt man mehr davon entlastet man die Gebiete in der Tiefe. Umgeht man Russlands Verteidigungsring gänzlich erschwert man das Herbeiführen von mehr Gerät. Damit macht der Angriff wenigstens in sich gesehen Sinn.
Die Hauptstoßrichtung zeigt aber immer noch HOLADRIO Richtung Atomkraftwerk Kursk. Alte Männer und der Stursinn…
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