Eliot A. Cohen at the CSIS six days ago: “Putins political objective in fostering the crisis is to chip away at Natos unity and purpose - expecting the germans to stand up and thereby fatally weakening an allience that [in his mind] doesnt exist”.
Kotkin at the Hoover Institute 4 Days ago: “You know, the reason why the West is now so unified is because our (US) security briefings were so spot on” - which is essentially impossible as an argument taking into account how the crisis developed. see click
SH*T: They are making this stuff up, as they are going along!
To summarize: After Russia sent over more support troops without military insignias into the Donbas region, and at the Nato the famous “Its and invasion, yet its not an invasion” speech was held and Uvdl rejected to use the word invasion in a CNN interview, the German position changed to “Nord Stream 2 is now frozen” - swiftly. After seeing that, (the Selenzkyj speech that called for russian anti-war activism in russian on Telegramm followed and) Putin decided to move in with rocket strikes and the 30.000 people invasion force because -- “he expected the germans to stand up, and thereby fatally weakening the alliance”.
Condolezza Rice, has an additional argument, for why the germans being impressed by US intelligence capability might be true, though - “Germans were among the first, that brought up Swift system sanctions.” The Swift system sanctions that excluded Gazprombank and Sberbank?