Gute Nachricht ZDF heute hat mittlerweile einen neuen Moderator und einen neuen Experten

29. März 2024

Läuft grad gut.

Was kann da schon schiefgehen.

Moment ich bekomm gera­de eine User­fra­ge her­ein, hat die Ukrai­ne denn noch genü­gend Ja-well-iiiines, ich hof­fe ich sprech das rich­tig aus.”

Jour­na­lis­mus, mei­ne Damen und Her­ren. Journalismus.

edit: Es gibt aber natür­lich auch wie­der gute Nach­rich­ten. Der neue ukrai­ni­sche Bot­schaf­ter in Nor­we­gen ist der ehe­ma­li­ge Chef des ukrai­ni­schen Sicherheitsrats.

Der neue ukrai­ni­sche Bot­schaf­ter in den UK wird ja bekannt­lich bald der ehe­ma­li­ge Ober­be­fehls­ha­ber des ukrai­ni­schen Mili­tärs (Salu­schnyj).

Der Standard verarscht mal wieder die Bevölkerung

29. März 2024

Mat­thi­as Bal­metz­ho­fer vor einer Stunde

Russ­lands Außen­mi­nis­ter Law­row nennt den ukrai­ni­schen Frie­dens­plan „sinn­los“
Der rus­si­sche Außen­mi­nis­ter Ser­gej Law­row bezeich­net in einem am Frei­tag ver­öf­fent­lich­ten Inter­view mit der Mos­kau­er Tages­zei­tung “Iswes­ti­ja” den von der Ukrai­ne vor­ge­schla­ge­ne Frie­dens­plan als sinn­los. “Wir sind auf jeden Fall zu Gesprä­chen bereit, aber nicht auf der Grund­la­ge der ‘Frie­dens­for­mel’ Selen­skyj”, sagt Law­row laut der Zeitung.

Ein vor­ge­schla­ge­ner Frie­dens­gip­fel wer­de erst dann Erfolg haben, wenn sei­ne Grund­la­gen geän­dert wür­den, wozu auch die Teil­nah­me Russ­lands gehö­re, so Law­row. Er weißt die Bestim­mun­gen des Plans, der unter ande­rem den Abzug der rus­si­schen Trup­pen vor­sieht, wei­ter­hin als inak­zep­ta­bel zurück. “Wie könn­te ein ernst­haf­ter Poli­ti­ker in Washing­ton, Brüs­sel, Lon­don, Paris oder Ber­lin sagen, dass es kei­ne Alter­na­ti­ve zur ‘Selenskyj-Formel’ gibt”.

src: click

Was wür­den wir als Stan­dard­re­dak­teu­re nicht alles tun um zu ver­schlei­ern, dass wir die Bevöl­ke­rung in Bezug auf Selen­sky­js “Frie­dens­for­mel” fehlinformieren?

Naja, klar - weitermachen…

Also - gut, Law­row nennt die ukrai­ni­sche Frie­dens­for­mel sinnlos… 

Das rus­si­sche Schwein.

Jan van Aken, Außenpolitik-Experte, Rosa-Luxemburg-Stiftung schüt­telt im Sep­tem­ber 2023 bei der Nen­nung der selen­sky­j­schen Frie­dens­for­mel auf Phoe­nix den Kopf, als es um “sie ver­han­deln ja” geht.

Das deut­sche Schwein.

Pro­pa­gan­da hat wie­der nie­mand entdeckt.

Wol­len wir mal im Detail drauf schaun?

Selen­sky­js Friedensformel

Also -

Selen­skyj am 19. Dezem­ber 2022:

Rus­sia – ins­tead of stop­ping the crime of aggres­si­on, which it star­ted back in 2014 – tur­ned it into a full-scale inva­si­on. And we have no choice but to defend our­sel­ves. We do it. We push the aggres­sor bey­ond the inter­na­tio­nal­ly reco­gni­zed bor­der of the Ukrai­ni­an state.

And this is the first item of our peace for­mu­la. Com­pre­hen­si­ve item. Punishment. 

Punish­ment for the crime of aggres­si­on. Punish­ment for vio­la­ti­on of bor­ders and ter­ri­to­ri­al inte­gri­ty. Punish­ment that must be in place until the inter­na­tio­nal­ly reco­gni­zed bor­der is res­to­red. Until the aggres­si­on stops. And until the dama­ges and los­ses for the war are ful­ly compensated.

The­re­fo­re, sanc­tions against the aggres­sor are part of the peace for­mu­la. Blo­cking the tra­de and rela­ti­ons with the aggres­sor is part of the peace for­mu­la. All this is a punishment.

src: click

Neat! So, we want to talk, peace - here are the repa­ra­ti­ons you will be paying as the defea­ted power. This is your punish­ment. Here, the peace for­mu­la by Selen­skyj tells you.

Ok, das war aber erst das ers­te Item, wei­ter zum nächsten…

The second item of the peace for­mu­la is the pro­tec­tion of life. The most con­cre­te item.

Now, while the ses­si­ons of the Gene­ral Assem­bly con­ti­nue, in the Ukrai­ni­an town of Izyum, Khar­kiv regi­on, the exhu­ma­ti­on is under way… of bodies from a mass buri­al, which hap­pen­ed when the ter­ri­to­ry was con­trol­led by Rus­si­an tro­ops. The bodies of women and men, child­ren and adults, civi­li­ans and sol­di­ers were found the­re. 445 graves. 

The­re is a fami­ly that died under the rub­ble of a house after a Rus­si­an airstrike – father, mother, 6- and 8-year-old girls, grand­par­ents. The­re is a man who was stran­gled with a rope. The­re is a woman with bro­ken ribs and wounds on her body. The­re is a man who was cas­tra­ted befo­re the mur­der, and this is not the first case.

Ask, plea­se, the repre­sen­ta­ti­ves of Rus­sia why the Rus­si­an mili­ta­ry are so obses­sed with cas­tra­ti­on. What was done to them so that they want to do this to others?

So, we want to talk peace, so lets talk about why you are so obses­sed with cas­tra­ti­on. We real­ly, real­ly have to figu­re this out. Its part of the Selen­skyj peace for­mu­la, you know.

Wei­ter zum nächs­ten Punkt:

This step will put ever­ything in place. After the Rus­si­an mis­si­le ter­ror. After the mas­sa­c­res. After Mariu­pol. After the bur­ning of Ukrai­ni­an pri­so­ners in Ole­ni­vka by the Rus­si­an mili­ta­ry. After blo­cking the ports. After the strikes of Rus­si­an tanks and mis­si­les on nuclear power plants. And after thre­ats to use nuclear wea­pons, which have beco­me the rule, not the excep­ti­on, for Rus­si­an propagandists…

We must final­ly reco­gni­ze Rus­sia as a sta­te spon­sor of ter­ro­rism. At all levels. In all coun­tries that con­fess the values of peace and pro­tec­tion of human life. Legal­ly. Politically. 

If you don’t have a legal mecha­nism, you can make a poli­ti­cal decisi­on – in the par­lia­ments. This is the foun­da­ti­on for res­to­ring glo­bal secu­ri­ty. If this strong step is taken, doubts will disap­pe­ar – whe­ther to take other important steps.

And what is very sen­si­ti­ve – is the bor­der, the ter­ri­to­ri­al integrity.

When one coun­try tri­es to ste­al the ter­ri­to­ry of ano­t­her sta­te, it puts all world nati­ons under attack. 

Glo­bal secu­ri­ty can­not be res­to­red without res­to­ring the ter­ri­to­ri­al inte­gri­ty of the nati­on which suf­fe­red the armed aggression.

So, the third item of the Ukrai­ni­an peace for­mu­la is the res­to­ra­ti­on of secu­ri­ty and ter­ri­to­ri­al integrity.

Lets talk about peace, but lets decla­re you a ter­ror spon­sor first, one that sto­le the natio­nal inte­gri­ty of ano­t­her coun­try - so your sta­te of cour­se has to be dis­mant­led, your gover­ment topp­led, your pre­si­dent held accoun­ta­ble - oh and you lea­ve the Ukrai­ne out of your own voli­ti­on - becau­se this is what it says here in item three!

But thats not­hing com­pa­red to item four…

The fourth item is secu­ri­ty guarantees.

Every nati­on has the right to secu­ri­ty gua­ran­tees. Not only the lar­gest nati­ons. Not only the most for­tu­n­a­te ones.

We have pro­po­sals to upgrade the secu­ri­ty archi­tec­tu­re for Ukrai­ne, and for Euro­pe and the world, which will not allow any more aggres­si­on against us. We are alrea­dy pre­sen­ting them to partners. 

Pro­po­sals for legal­ly bin­ding mul­ti­la­te­ral and bila­te­ral trea­ties. The­se are the con­di­ti­ons for the gua­ran­tors to act, and the time­li­ne for their actions to bring results – results on land, at sea and in the air; in diplo­ma­cy and poli­tics, in eco­no­my and finan­ce, in pro­vi­ding wea­pons and intel­li­gence. Each of you, who will recei­ve the text of our peace for­mu­la will also see the details of what we offer as secu­ri­ty guarantees.

Lets talk peace, nay - lets talk about the glo­bal ambi­ti­on of the Selen­skyj peace for­mu­la, which we give out to the world for free to use! Point four to sol­ve a con­flict will all­ways be - have US sup­port on your side, becau­se no one else can give bin­ding gua­ran­ties that mean a shit -- oh, and of cour­se the US sees not­hing of what the UN secu­ri­ty coun­cil pro­du­ces as bin­ding. Even though it is bin­ding under the UN char­ter. Gre­at peace for­mu­la, always have the US as your friend. Peop­le of the world use this, I give it to you for free! I’m tel­ling you you can have it, and then we have peace. I’m Selenskyj!

But lets talk about item five next, ok?

And the fifth item of the Ukrai­ni­an peace for­mu­la is deter­mi­na­ti­on. Some­thing without which the other four items will not work.

This is our deter­mi­na­ti­on to fight. This is the deter­mi­na­ti­on of the part­ners to help us, and also them­sel­ves. And this is the deter­mi­na­ti­on of the world to unite around the one who fights against armed aggres­si­on and to call to order the one who threa­tens all. […]

So, lets talk about peace, but first, let us ensu­re you that we are deter­mi­ned to fight. Only the deter­mi­na­ti­on to fight will unite the world and our partners!

So --- after that fias­co, they kind of redraf­ted the SELENSKY PEACE FORMULA a bit…

… and came up with the fol­lowing fuck­ing over­pro­du­ced pie­ce of shit in Sep­tem­ber of 2023:

Frie­dens­for­mel, Frie­dens­for­mel, CNN Mode­ra­tor *nick­nick­nick*

Whe­re in the pre­sen­ta­ti­on, you see Fareed Zaka­ria having this litt­le moment of cogni­ti­ve dis­so­nan­ce on sta­ge, at the exact time he rea­li­zes that he is peddling COMPLETE PROPAGANDA BULLSHIT during this exchange:

First Ques­ti­on Fareed Zakaria: 

At what point during this peace for­mu­la will the Ukrai­ne speak with Russia?” 

Andrij Jer­mak:

You know Fareed, I dont belie­ve in media­ti­on… […] And now I posi­ti­on very strong and clear, we not just think about any nego­tia­ti­ons, till the last sol­di­ers in our land” 

But for some FUCKING REASON not in the moments befo­re, when the FUCKING TRAILER ROLL for the SELENSKYJ PEACE FORMULA was run­ning on stage:

Fareed Zaka­ria: “Andrij Jer­mak has brought this!”

Now having been rejig­ge­red to con­tain the fol­lowing points - so the Selen­skyj Peace for­mu­la now is:

1. Radia­ti­on and Nuclear safety
2. Food Security
3. Ener­gy Security
4. Release of Cap­ti­ves and depor­tees per­sons [Spell­che­cker is a paid job in the ukrai­ni­an goverment]
5. Res­to­ra­ti­on of Ukraine’s ter­ri­to­ri­al intergritys
[Spell­che­cker is a paid job in the ukrai­ni­an goverment]
6. With­dra­wal of rus­si­an tro­ops and ces­sa­ti­on of hostilities
7. Res­to­ra­ti­on of justice
8. Envi­ron­men­tal safety
9. Pre­ven­ti­on of esca­la­ti­on and aggres­si­on reoccurrence
10. Con­fir­ma­ti­on of war ending

Which is just great.

So of cour­se, what would be the most IDIOTIC way to imple­ment this “For­mu­la”? Of cour­se, you hold at least TEN sum­mits, at unspe­ci­fied time­frames, while fuck­ing fly­ing all over the world for no rea­son (more on that later), to then address ONE POINT AT A TIME on every conference.

And then on the tenth con­fe­rence or the ele­venth you’ll announ­ce peace without ever having had to talk to rus­sia! THE SELENSKY PEACE FORMULA IS JUST THAT MAGICAL!

But wait you say - he was fly­ing all over the world for no rea­son, how can you say that? Well - take the mat­ter of “how inter­na­tio­nal part­ners to hold tho­se sum­mits are cho­sen” for example.

So one of the first coun­tries cho­sen was Sau­di Ara­bia of cour­se, becau­se - and I quo­te Selen­skyj, becau­se it was so valu­able as a mode­ra­tor in our pri­so­ner exch­an­ges with rus­sia, so NATURALLY Sau­di Ara­bia is your first coun­try for the Selen­skyj peace for­mu­la, which is free for the world. The ukrai­ni­an government is that generous.

The­re you then talk about nuclear safe­ty of cour­se, becau­se thats your first point on the new and bet­ter Selen­skyj peace for­mu­la - and you’ll only ever talk about one point at a time, so that in the end the­re can be peace. Of course.

Here is an image of tho­se talks:

583eb422e29696c7897d21102e2abecf2bb
src: click

Gre­at.

World peace only inches away.

So natu­ral­ly, as the ukrai­ni­an government, at the same time you put out the­re that the talks will lead to not­hing, waaaay­yy beforehand.

Sau­di Ara­bia hosts peace talks on Ukrai­ne war exclu­ding Russia

Sau­di Ara­bia hos­ted talks on the Ukrai­ne war Satur­day in the latest flex­ing of its diplo­ma­tic mus­cle, a ses­si­on that Kyiv had pre­dic­ted would “not be easy” given the wide ran­ge of coun­tries represented.

src: click

You are rea­ding the head­line of Fran­ce 24 on the con­fe­rence btw. Here is arti­cles content.

The mee­ting, which Ukrai­ni­an orga­nisers said would inclu­de repre­sen­ta­ti­ves from near­ly 40 coun­tries but not Rus­sia, con­clu­ded on Satur­day evening after several hours of state­ments from the various dele­ga­ti­ons and a leng­thy clo­sed dis­cus­sion, par­ti­ci­pants said.

As expec­ted, no final decla­ra­ti­on was due to be released, though some dele­ga­ti­ons were plan­ning to take part in bila­te­ral mee­tings in Jed­dah on Sunday, par­ti­ci­pants said.

But real­ly, thats just as expected.

And becau­se you do ever­ything by the book, the next important coun­try for your next peace for­mu­la item, whe­re you then talk about food secu­ri­ty - will be Switz­er­land. Ok, may­be by then you rejig­ger the points once more, and stop com­mu­ni­ca­ting them at all again, becau­se tal­king food secu­ri­ty for the world, and how to gain world peace the Selen­skyj way in SWITZERLAND?! - kind of lea­ves you with a stran­ge aftertaste.

Oh wait, I lied - the next peace for­mu­la sum­mit took place in Mal­ta. Heard anything about that one, or why Mal­ta was cho­sen? No? Look it up then, it must be out the­re, right? You do some work. Its for world peace and peace in Euro­pe, you know?

Of cour­se befo­re you jet to Switz­er­land next, you talk to your pals in Sau­di Ara­bia once more -

Ukraine’s pre­si­den­cy reve­a­led on Wed­nes­day talks with Sau­di Ara­bia, focu­sing on the upco­m­ing high-level peace con­fe­rence in Switz­er­land next sum­mer, amidst ongo­ing Rus­si­an mili­ta­ry actions.
Andriy Yer­mak, the head of the Ukrai­ni­an president’s office, recent­ly held a pho­ne call con­ver­sa­ti­on with Sau­di Natio­nal Secu­ri­ty Advi­ser Musaad Al-Aiban, appre­cia­ting their ongo­ing dialogue.
Yer­mak also thank­ed Al-Aiban for the con­ti­nued imple­men­ta­ti­on of agree­ments reached bet­ween Ukrai­ne and the Kingdom.
Accord­ing to the pre­si­den­cy, the two offi­cials dis­cus­sed the orga­niz­a­ti­on of the sum­mit in Switz­er­land and Sau­di Arabia’s rea­di­ness to con­tri­bu­te to achie­ving las­ting peace.

src: click

Pro­du­cing this stun­ner of a press photo:
574939 0
src: click

Of cour­se this time empha­si­zing your rea­di­ness to achie­ve peace without rus­sia, in Switz­er­land. This time its for real, becau­se as soon as the sum­mit is announ­ced in swiss news­pa­pers, they lead with the following -

Selen­ski kün­digt inter­na­tio­na­le Frie­dens­kon­fe­renz zur Ukrai­ne in der Schweiz an – aber ohne Russland

Bern und Kiew orga­ni­sie­ren ein Tref­fen zur Frie­dens­for­mel des ukrai­ni­schen Prä­si­den­ten. Bis zu Frie­dens­ge­sprä­chen mit Mos­kau ist es ein wei­ter Weg. Den­noch kann die Schweiz einen Erfolg verbuchen.

[…]

Ein Spre­cher des Aus­sen­de­par­te­ments (EDA) bestä­tig­te am Mon­tag, dass vor dem Welt­wirt­schafts­fo­rum in Davos am 14. Janu­ar eine Kon­fe­renz zur ukrai­ni­schen Frie­dens­for­mel stattfinde. 

[…]

Schweiz kam spät ins Spiel
Es han­delt sich um das vier­te die­ser Art von Tref­fen, die die ukrai­ni­sche Sei­te als Frie­dens­kon­fe­ren­zen bezeich­net. Zunächst han­del­te es sich pri­mär um eine Zusam­men­kunft von Staa­ten, wel­che die Ukrai­ne unter­stüt­zen. Am zwei­ten Tref­fen, das in Sau­di­ara­bi­en statt­fand, nah­men auch nicht­west­li­che Län­der teil. Die­se sind gegen­über der Ukrai­ne zurück­hal­ten­der, wes­halb kein gemein­sa­mes Schluss­state­ment mög­lich war. Die Schweiz kam erst am drit­ten Tref­fen in Mal­ta ins Spiel. Das EDA hat sich offen­kun­dig für eine Vor­wärts­stra­te­gie ent­schie­den: Es enga­giert sich da, wo etwas geschieht.

src: click

And wouldnt you know it - somehow no offi­cial com­mu­ni­que on any results sur­fa­ced after that one either…

But now - wait for it, the fifth coun­try in your SELENSKYJ PEACE FORMULA jour­ney around the world will be “SOMEWHERE IN THE GLOBAL SOUTH” of cour­se, you announ­ce as Selen­skyj, becau­se this time around you real­ly have to talk about food secu­ri­ty, and…

Sinn­los? Wer wür­de hier behaup­ten, das sei sinnlos?

Wer wür­de hier behaup­ten, die FUCKING SCHEISSE von FRIEDENSFORMEL DES SELENSKYJ wur­de vor der Wahl­pe­ri­ode in der Ukrai­ne mit kom­plett ande­ren Punk­ten aus­staf­fiert - um die ukrai­ni­sche Bevöl­ke­rung kom­plett zu ver­ar­schen, dass man ihre wahl­re­le­van­ten Anlie­gen beher­zi­ge, und an denen arbeite.

Denn exakt das sind die FUCKING ZEHN PUNKTE der ukrai­ni­schen Frie­dens­for­mel heute.

1. Radia­ti­on and Nuclear safety
2. Food Security
3. Ener­gy Security
4. Release of Cap­ti­ves and depor­tees persons
5. Res­to­ra­ti­on of Ukraine’s ter­ri­to­ri­al intergritys
[…]
8. Envi­ron­men­tal safety
[…]
10. Con­fir­ma­ti­on of war ending

TALKS - MY FUCKING ASS.

All without tal­king to rus­sia once.

Now the real gag here is, how you hide that from public view FOR ONE AN A HALF FUCKING YEARS. All the while get­ting rejec­ted by FIFA who doesnt want you to spill that fuck­ing shit, right befo­re the WM finals. Live.

Which you asked for.

And the ans­wer, is you’­ve bought out all ger­man spea­king media, to no spell out for their rea­ders, what the FUCK is going on here.

And this is, once again, whe­re Der Stan­dard pro­ves very, very, very hel­pful again. OF COURSE.

DER BÖSE RUSSE HAT GESAGT DIE FRIEDENSFORMEL SELENSKYJS SEI SINNLOS!

DIE ÜBER DEREN KONFERENZEN WIR ÜBER EIN JAHR ALSFRIEDENSKONFERENZENBERICHTET HABEN, AUCH WENN SIE FRIEDENSFORMELKONFERENZEN WAREN!

(Was für ein blö­der Zufall, das hat sicher kein Pro­pa­gan­dist designt.)

WAS WIR Arsch­lö­cher DANN REDAKTIONSINTERN AM 28.10.2023 ÜBERRISSEN HABEN (sie­he click) AN DEM TAG DANN ERSTMALIG UNSER FUCKING WORDING VON FRIEDENSGIPFEL ZU FRIEDENSFORMELGIPFEL UMGESTELLT HABEN, NUR UM DANN -

heu­te wie­der selek­ti­ve Amne­sie zu erlei­den und uns dann als DER STANDARD zu empö­ren, dass jemand das “sinn­los” nennt.

ACHJA UND FÜR DIE ÜBERINTELLIGENTEN DIE DAS BISHER ÜBERLESEN HABEN “der letz­te Rus­se hat die Ukrai­ne ver­las­sen” IST EINE VORBEDINGUNG, BEVOR ES ZUM 10 GIPFEL KOMMEN KANN, BEI DEM DANN OHNE VERHANDLUNGEN MIT RUSSLAND DER FRIEDEN ERKLÄRT WIRD.

VON SELENSKYJ. DANK SEINER FRIEDENSFORMEL. DIE SICH AN UN-RECHT ORIENTIERE. UND DIE ER DER WELT SCHENKEN WILL.

MIT PUNKT 4 ODER 9, JE NACHDEM WANN WIR UNS DIE FRIEDENSFORMEL ANSEHEN “hol dir Sicher­heits­ga­ran­tien von den US”.

DANKE SENLENSKYJ.

DANKE DASS DU DER UKRAINE FRIEDEN BRINGST.

Dazu viel­leicht noch ein kur­zes pas­sen­des Kom­men­tar abseits von

And the fifth item of the Ukrai­ni­an peace for­mu­la is deter­mi­na­ti­on. Some­thing without which the other four items will not work.

This is our deter­mi­na­ti­on to fight. This is the deter­mi­na­ti­on of the part­ners to help us, and also them­sel­ves. And this is the deter­mi­na­ti­on of the world to unite around the one who fights against armed aggres­si­on and to call to order the one who threa­tens all. […]

?

Komisch, dass man das bis heu­te lei­der in deutsch­spra­chi­gen Medi­en nicht auf­ar­bei­ten konnte.

Pro­pa­gan­da hat ja wie­der nie­mand entdeckt.

Die­se Gesell­schaft ist und bleibt das abso­lut gro­tesk und abar­tigst Allerletzte.

Und jetzt noch mal Gra­tu­la­ti­on an den Stan­dard für das Far­men von Hass gegen den Rus­sen, damit die Bevöl­ke­rung die sich auf euch ver­lässt emo­tio­nal ankert, dass das ja “nicht sinn­los ist”.

Not­hing but sen­se Selen­skyj, I always tell myself.

edit: Turns out the Ukrai­ne drop­ped the “one item per sum­mit” pre­con­di­ti­on it favo­r­ed in the past. (Becau­se then at the tenth or ele­venth sum­mit, peace - final­ly, without rus­sia of course).
src: click

The bad news is this:

Res­to­ra­ti­on of Ukraine’s ter­ri­to­ri­al integrity

This initia­ti­ve is aimed at impro­ving the exis­ting mecha­nisms to pro­tect the princip­le of respect for the ter­ri­to­ri­al inte­gri­ty and sov­er­eig­n­ty of Ukrai­ne, which is ensh­ri­ned in the UN Charter. 

The press ser­vice claims that in order to achie­ve the­se goals, it is important to:

- Incre­a­se the effec­ti­ve­ness of the UN Secu­ri­ty Coun­cil by reforming and limi­t­ing the veto.

- Streng­t­hen the role of the Inter­na­tio­nal Court of Jus­ti­ce by gran­ting it com­pul­so­ry juris­dic­tion over all cases invol­ving vio­la­ti­ons of the UN Char­ter and gua­ran­te­eing the immedia­te enfor­ce­ment of its decisions.

- Crea­te a sys­tem for ear­ly detec­tion of actions that threa­ten the sov­er­eig­n­ty and ter­ri­to­ri­al inte­gri­ty of states.

src: click

So appar­ent­ly, the sei­ze fire in Gaza would have to be alrea­dy in place for Ukrai­ne to move for­ward in their talks with rus­sia. Fun.

Es gibt aber natür­lich auch wie­der gute Nachrichten:

Accord­ing to the Pre­si­dent, most of the world is gra­du­al­ly unit­ing around a com­mon visi­on of jus­ti­ce reflec­ted in the “For­mu­la for Peace”. 

Last year, when I first pre­sen­ted the for­mu­la, the world was still dis­cus­sing a dif­fe­rent visi­on, a com­ple­te­ly dif­fe­rent approach to the res­to­ra­ti­on of our sta­te bor­ders and a fair peace. And most of the world is gra­du­al­ly unit­ing around a com­mon visi­on of jus­ti­ce, which is reflec­ted in the “For­mu­la for Peace”. 

On the sum­mit in Mal­ta. Same source.

Pro Ukraine fraction still needs 33 more votes for the discharge partition

26. März 2024

to pass, accord­ing to Fran­ce 24,

and

The peti­ti­on needs 218 votes to indu­ce a floor vote. Though only 15 signa­tures have been gathe­red so far, inclu­ding Fitzpatrick’s, sup­por­ters are bul­lish on its pro­spects. Spea­king with CBS News, Fitz­pa­trick pre­dic­ted a “dam break” that will lead to a wave of sup­port and signatures.

src: click
203 accord­ing to CBS News (one day earlier).

Kon­text:

Oh, they found a rare­ly used tool in the toolbox!

The effort had been laun­ched on March 12th.

House Demo­crats on Tues­day for­mal­ly laun­ched their pro­mi­sed effort to for­ce a vote on Ukrai­ne aid, a long-shot bid to com­pel the legis­la­ti­on to the floor over the objec­tion of the Repu­bli­can lea­ders who con­trol the chamber. 

Spon­so­red by Rep. Jim McGo­vern (D-Mass.), ran­king mem­ber of the House Rules Com­mit­tee, the Demo­crats’ dischar­ge peti­ti­on would requi­re 218 signa­tures to for­ce con­si­de­ra­ti­on of a Senate-passed for­eign aid packa­ge, which pro­vi­des $95 bil­li­on for Ukrai­ne, Isra­el, Tai­wan and huma­ni­ta­ri­an assi­s­tance in Gaza.

[…]

The suc­cess rate of dischar­ge peti­ti­ons, howe­ver, is extre­me­ly low — the last one to for­ce a bill to the floor occur­red in 2015 — and it’s far from cer­tain that Demo­crats will win the 218 signa­tures they’re after. 

src: click

edit: Es gibt aber natür­lich auch wie­der gute Nach­rich­ten, die US lügen aktu­ell in State­ments im UN Secu­ri­ty Coun­cil. On record.

Karaganow one year later

26. März 2024

Doub­ling down on all points from the pre­vious year.

Same venue.

Russias strange delusions of grandeur

26. März 2024

Huh.

Here are some stran­ge and inte­res­ting state­ments by one Dr. Ser­gei Alex­an­d­ro­witsch Kara­ga­now that make me almost under­stand the cur­rent US posi­ti­on for the first time…

fol­lo­wed by

The first one (Con­fe­rence in 2017) reads like a mad­mans plan of divi­de and con­quer whe­re somehow rus­sia beco­mes the most important decisi­on maker in a glo­bal mili­ta­ry alli­an­ce bet­ween the three major mili­ta­ry super­powers (USA, Chi­na and Rus­sia), then gra­du­al­ly being wil­ling to also invi­te “India and Japan” into their “new­ly foun­ded insti­tu­tio­nal cir­cles”, with this coin­ci­dent­al­ly also beco­m­ing the most important decisi­on struc­tu­re in all of world affairs. The second one (con­fe­rence in 2022) like a plan to over­ex­tend the US, while having about ten mili­ta­ry con­flicts shake out in the near term future.

If this was rus­si­as posi­ti­on in the geo­stra­te­gic talks with the US in Decem­ber of 2021, I - for the first time, unter­stand the US posi­ti­on at tho­se talks.

That said, the second video is full of stra­te­gic back­pe­da­ling and coping nar­ra­ti­ves - that make Kara­ga­novs posi­ti­on sound like “made up on the fly to still somehow fit the situation”.

But a few moti­ves regis­ter as fami­li­ar to me.

First and fore­mo­st Zeihans “Putin is an iso­la­ted mad­man, and they dont have bet­ter per­so­nal on hand, becau­se they never deve­lo­ped their poli­ti­cal class befo­re the cur­rent attempt at a shake­out”, which stran­ge­ly enough is mir­ro­red by state­ments Kara­ga­nov makes on the second panel about, the war being the per­fect time to crea­te the new domestic poli­ti­cal struc­tures, becau­se the rus­si­an socie­ty is focu­sed behind a new natio­na­listic mind­set, and the rus­si­an mili­ta­ry estab­lis­hed as the pathway into rus­si­as future ruling classes.

Which has to be the stran­gest “we can sur­vi­ve this as a nati­on” con­cept I’ve seen in poli­ti­cal decisi­on making in my lifetime.

But then at the same time, this also regis­ters simi­lar to the tro­pe that the all­rus­si­an offi­ciers assem­bly appar­ent­ly hin­ted at (rus­sia get­ting rid of part of its popu­la­ti­on and fin­ding nar­ra­ti­ves of “coping and suf­fe­ring over an exten­ded peri­od of time” for the rest of them, until this shakes out), see:

So dezi­diert nicht -

And at the same time I cant just out­right say that all of this is non­sen­se, becau­se the term “slow, sli­ce by sli­ce mili­ta­riz­a­ti­on of Ukrai­ne” that Cliff Kup­chan, Chair­man of the Eura­sia Group hints at, fits my inter­nal map of the situa­ti­on in Ukrai­ne in the past like a glove. So…

Stra­te­gy in the first video is the dum­best divi­de and con­quer attempt I’ve seen in my life­time? Whe­re rus­sia thought, that Euro­pe would crum­ble under the inter­nal pres­su­re of diver­ging inte­rests, after some key event like the inva­si­on of Ukrai­ne, so now rus­sia could play “stra­te­gic deci­der” in a new­found struc­tu­re with the US, Chi­na, Rus­sia, an over­aged Japan, and Brics Cham­pion India? Which reads like the per­fect mad­mens assem­bly of how to divi­de and con­quer the west to get hege­mo­ny into chi­nas hands quickly.

And the stra­te­gy in the second video might be inter­pre­ted as an “over­ex­ten­ding the US” play with “mul­ti­ple wars that will shake out over the next ten years” while still not see­ing this as an east/west divi­de, but as a north/south powerstrugg­le, from rus­si­as per­spec­ti­ve. With a bunch of coping nar­ra­ti­ves in the­re retai­ning how well ever­ything in Ukrai­ne went, ever­ything con­si­de­red (from a big pic­tu­re view). Which is pro­bab­ly just the usu­al “let me keep my job plea­se” adjus­t­ment the average poli­ti­cal ana­lyst is capa­ble of making at any point in time…

But whats the stran­gest aspect in all of this, is that this makes the cur­rent US posi­ti­on seem like a logi­cal reaction.

So set “over­ex­ten­ding rus­sia” into play on part of the US, then han­ding that over to Euro­pe to main­tain, while focu­sing on Chi­na as the real power rival, becau­se of - I dont know - “all the wars that are yet to take place” that rus­sia appar­ent­ly hints at it wan­ting to “wait out” from its per­spec­ti­ve. And that are powerstrug­gles bet­ween an ima­gi­ned north/south divi­de, which coin­ci­dent­al­ly also coin­ci­des with the wes­tern “demo­cra­ci­es vs. auto­cra­ci­es” nar­ra­ti­ve, which still is com­ple­te­ly idio­tic, taken pure­ly at face value.

This tru­ly feels like the morons time­li­ne of the deve­lo­p­ment of future power­cen­ters, after the wes­tern decli­ne has set in. (In terms of GDP, growth per­spec­ti­ves, and main­tai­ning the key insti­tu­tio­nal powerstructures.)

Huh.

So - how serious do we take that Dr. Ser­gey Kara­ga­nov fel­low, in terms of “spil­ling the beans”, that rus­sia cant wait to beco­me the deci­ding geo­po­li­ti­cal mili­ta­ry deci­der in a set­up that was clear­ly meant to put into place a divi­de an con­quer stra­te­gy to sepa­ra­te Euro­pe from the US?

I mean how sure are we, that rus­sia was just gid­dy to tell us that fever­dream of “beco­m­ing important again” open­ly at a “Dia­lo­gue of Civi­liz­a­ti­ons” con­fe­rence in 2017?

Seems like I’ve got some catching up to do on that Kara­ga­nov fellow.

edit: Wiki­pe­dia hints at him being clo­se to Lav­rov with a source from 2022 being refe­ren­ced, and Putin, while the second video abo­ve indi­ca­tes that he has not direct access to Putin any­mo­re, and appar­ent­ly Lav­rov also isnt part of the inner decisi­on cir­cle in rus­sia any­mo­re. The last part is hear­say I picked up in my rea­ding some­whe­re, but no idea whe­re… So, yeah…

One of his stap­les (“Eura­sia­nism as ideo­lo­gy”) I can see poten­ti­al­ly play­ing out cur­r­ent­ly, but isnt that just the Chi­ne­se poli­ti­cal PR cam­pai­gn in rus­sia anyhow? 😉

On his role in the past, his Wiki­pe­dia states:

Kara­ga­nov, who is known as a clo­se advi­sor to Rus­si­an Pre­si­dent Vla­di­mir Putin, for­mu­la­ted many of the core ide­as that led to Russia’s inva­si­on of Ukrai­ne on 24 Febru­a­ry 2022. One week ear­lier Kara­ga­nov exp­lai­ned that “the situa­ti­on is so dire” that “war is ine­vi­ta­ble”, as Rus­sia could only achie­ve its goals by mili­ta­ry means, sin­ce, unli­ke the United Sta­tes, the domi­nant post-Cold War power, Rus­sia had no poli­ti­cal, cul­tu­ral, ideo­lo­gi­cal or eco­no­mic bene­fits by which to bring other sta­tes under its influence.

Kara­ga­nov lamen­ted that Russia’s neigh­bors gene­ral­ly saw the West as offe­ring more attrac­ti­ve poli­ti­cal and eco­no­mic models, and Rus­sia the­re­fo­re had no choice but to gain their sub­mis­si­on by force.[23]

src: click

Which is the equi­va­lent of the “Putin was afraid of the eco­no­mic deve­lo­p­ment of Ukrai­ne” nar­ra­ti­ve in the west, which sim­ply loo­ked at from an eco­no­mic per­spec­ti­ve, makes no sen­se - in a 30 years timeframe.

While this:

Regar­ding Ukrai­ne, Kara­ga­nov clai­med that it was necessa­ry to sub­due it in order to pre­vent the fur­ther expan­si­on of NATO. As jus­ti­fi­ca­ti­on for an unpro­vo­ked inva­si­on, Kara­ga­nov sug­gested that Ukrai­ne was not a via­ble sta­te any­way, and “most likely, the coun­try will slow­ly dis­in­te­gra­te,” or, alter­na­tively, it will be bro­ken up into smal­ler parts, and “some­thing may go to Rus­sia, some­thing to Hun­ga­ry, some­thing to Poland, and some­thing may remain a for­mal­ly inde­pen­dent Ukrai­ni­an state.”[23] Howe­ver, he has said that “occu­p­y­ing” Ukrai­ne is “the worst-case scenario”.[24]

reads like whats going on today.

edit: Auf der ande­ren Sei­te, hier eine ein­fa­che­re Her­lei­tung, war­um die US sich aus der Ukrai­ne zurück­zie­hen zu wol­len scheinen. 🙂

«Die­ser Anstieg um 3 Pro­zent­punk­te ist sehr gefähr­lich»: Blackrock-Chef Lar­ry Fink sorgt sich um die hohe Ver­schul­dung des ame­ri­ka­ni­schen Staates

Der Chef des welt­gröss­ten Ver­mö­gens­ver­wal­ters sieht in den gestie­ge­nen Zins­kos­ten ein Pro­blem für die Ver­ei­nig­ten Staa­ten. Aber er sieht sein Unter­neh­men auch als Teil der Lösung.

src: click

edit: Es gibt aber natür­lich auch wie­der gute Nach­rich­ten. Der Stan­dard hat soeben her­aus­ge­fun­den, dass fol­gen­des berich­tens­wert ist:

RUSSLAND/UKRAINE

Kreml­spre­cher Pes­kow: Glo­ba­ler Ukraine-Friedensgipfel ohne Russ­land “absurd”

src: click

Man braucht ja den Mob der die Posi­ti­on dass das tat­säch­lich absurd ist in Grund und Boden schrei­en muss.

Und der Ein­zi­ge Grund es nicht als absurd zu bezeich­nen, sind diplo­ma­ti­sche Ver­su­che des Wes­tens Chi­na und Indi­en gegen Russ­land zu “pivo­ten” - die im Ramen die­ser “Glo­ba­len Ukraine-Friedensgipfel” ange­sto­ßen wer­den. Was man so hört.

Komisch eigent­lich, dass die FIFA Selen­skyj dafür nicht vor dem WM Fina­le Wer­bung machen hat lassen.

Absurd gera­de­zu.

Die­se ver­schla­ge­nen Rus­sen schon wie­der, bis zur FIFA reicht ihr lan­ger.. Pass.