Rollenspiele im Militär

25. Januar 2025

Neu­es von offi­zi­el­ler Nato Seite -

die “Trip­wire” Dok­trin haben wir alle nur geträumt, denn Die Pres­se hat heu­te her­aus­ge­fun­den, die NATO wür­de den Krieg in der Ukrai­ne ganz anders führen:

Nato-General: „Die Wahr­schein­lich­keit einer mili­tä­ri­schen Aus­ein­an­der­set­zung war noch nie so groß“

Chris­ti­an Badia, rang­höchs­ter deut­scher Nato-General, über Russ­lands hybri­de Atta­cken, Sky Shield und sei­ne Sor­gen vor einer unbe­ab­sich­tig­ten Eska­la­ti­on. Zu den Kämp­fen in der Ukrai­ne sagt er: „Die Nato wür­de einen ganz ande­ren Krieg führen.“
von Jür­gen Streihammer

src: click

Wir erin­nern uns:

What is NATO’s ‘trip­wire’ stra­te­gy and is it still rele­vant today?

Wil­son Cen­ter June 2024:

As the NATO Sum­mit con­ve­ned in Washing­ton, D.C. last week, a main topic of dis­cus­sion was the bols­te­ring of the Alliance’s eas­tern flank. Albeit with a grea­ter sen­se of urgen­cy, the focus on Eas­tern Euro­pe is an echo to the 2016 Sum­mit in War­saw, held in the wake of Russia’s annex­a­ti­on of Cri­mea. Back then, NATO agreed to streng­t­hen its eas­tern bor­der by estab­li­shing four enhan­ced For­ward Pre­sence batt­le­groups (eFPs). The­se for­ma­ti­ons, envi­sio­ned as ‘trip­wire’ for­ces, recei­ved their fair share of atten­ti­on at the recent Sum­mit, and are evol­ving in scope as NATO navi­ga­tes the most dif­fi­cult secu­ri­ty envi­ron­ment in Euro­pe sin­ce World War 2.

src: click

Stimmt, also wenn die Nato die­sen Krieg füh­ren wür­de, also -- wenn die Nato tat­säch­lich com­mand and con­trol in die­sem Krieg über­neh­men wür­de, wie im Jän­ner 2025 --

NATO has taken over air defen­ses in Poland from the US just days befo­re the inau­gu­ra­ti­on of President-elect Donald Trump, accord­ing to a NATO spo­kes­man, with ques­ti­ons loo­m­ing about the inco­m­ing administration’s approach to the alli­an­ce and to Ukraine.

NATO assu­med com­mand and con­trol from the US on Thurs­day, said Col. Mar­tin O’Donnell, and will help to safe­guard logistics nodes in Poland that are nee­ded to con­ti­nue deli­vering aid cru­cial to Ukraine’s war effort against Russia.

src: click

Also dann wür­de die Nato den Krieg in der Ukrai­ne sicher ganz anders füh­ren, als Russ­land in der Ukrai­ne so lan­ge auf­zu­rei­ben wie mög­lich - sodass Russ­land noch in der Ukrai­ne stolpert.

Also -- wenn die Nato bereits in der Ukrai­ne wäre, dann wäre der Krieg ja qua­si bereits vorbei.

Glei­ches gilt auch für den Fall, falls die Ukrai­ne bereits in der Nato wäre --

was immer noch sie­ben Nato Voll­mit­glie­der dem Stol­per­draht Ukrai­ne aktu­ell ver­wei­gern. (All the down­si­des of being ful­ly inte­gra­ted into the Nato exer­ci­ses infra­st­ruc­tu­re, none of the bene­fits of arti­cle 5. Yay! May­be add to that “not enough for­ces deli­ve­r­ed to deter rus­sia”.)

Aber hier gehts ja um das unqua­li­fi­zier­te WENN - also WENN die Nato in der Ukrai­ne wäre - dann wür­de sie ganz anders kämp­fen. Da sies aber nicht ist, bleibt die Ukrai­ne nach gel­ten­der Nato Dok­trin halt doch mehr Stolperdraht.

Aber es ist so wich­tig, dass sich jeder Nato Aspi­rant frei dazu ent­schei­den kann jeder­zeit Stol­per­draht zu werden.

Also wenn alle Nato-Vollmitglieder dem zustimmen.

Die Nato nennt das Open Door poli­cy. (Auch bekannt unter dem Kon­zept - eine schwar­ze Kugel und du bist raus. Sie ken­nen das vom Tag der offe­nen Türe in der Schu­le ihres Spröss­lings. Wenn sie im Ein­gangs­be­reich lau­ter wei­ße Kugeln sehen, kön­nen sie weiter.)

Gut, Pro­pa­gan­da hat wie­der nie­mand ent­deckt. Am aller­we­nigs­ten von Sei­ten der Nato. Was will man machen.

edit: Es gibt aber auch wie­der gute Nachrichten:

Ukrai­ne eva­ku­iert alle Kin­der aus Front­stadt Pokrowsk

Die ukrai­ni­schen Behör­den haben ange­sichts der sich nähern­den rus­si­schen Trup­pen alle Kin­der aus der front­na­hen Stadt Pokrowsk im Osten des Lan­des in Sicher­heit gebracht. Im Land­kreis (Rajon) Pokrowsk sei­en noch etwa 10.000 Men­schen ver­blie­ben, davon in der Stadt 7.000, sag­te der Lei­ter der Mili­tär­ver­wal­tung von Pokrowsk, Ser­hij Dobrjak. “Kin­der gibt es gar kei­ne mehr in der Gemein­de, sie sind alle weggefahren.”

src: click

Gut, die Frau­en und Alten sind aber auch immer so quän­ge­lig. Kin­der und Kin­de­rIn­nen zuerst.

The truth, as of European resolution 2024/2988(RSP)

25. Januar 2025

So to inst­ruct social media net­works to remo­ve postings based on EU law - and to con­cep­tua­li­ze its new epis­tems against memes pri­ming cam­pai­gn (col­lo­quial­ly known as “vac­ci­na­ti­on against mis­in­for­ma­ti­on”), the Euro­pean Par­lia­ment has now made the fol­lowing nar­ra­ti­ves truth by EU resolution --

So it can then go to social media “fact che­ckers” and tell them remo­ve posts of that guy (me) for being cri­ti­cal of the offi­cial narrative…

Nice…

Here is the full text:

Euro­pean Par­lia­ment reso­lu­ti­on of 23 Janu­a­ry 2025 on Russia’s dis­in­for­ma­ti­on and his­to­ri­cal fal­si­fi­ca­ti­on to jus­ti­fy its war of aggres­si­on against Ukrai­ne (2024/2988(RSP))

Here is the spin imple­men­ted by the EU par­lia­ment, I’ve found so far:

1. You have to agree that this war was unpro­vo­ked, or the EU will have you cen­so­red on social media. (Issue: It wasnt unprovoked):

whe­re­as, in fact, sin­ce 24 Febru­a­ry 2022 the Rus­si­an Fede­ra­ti­on has been waging an unpro­vo­ked, unju­s­ti­fied and ille­gal war of aggres­si­on against Ukrai­ne, in con­ti­nua­tion of pre­vious aggres­si­ons sin­ce 2014, and con­ti­nues to per­sist­ent­ly vio­la­te the princi­ples of the UN Char­ter through its aggres­si­ve actions against the sov­er­eig­n­ty, inde­pen­dence and ter­ri­to­ri­al inte­gri­ty of Ukrai­ne and to bla­tant­ly and gross­ly vio­la­te inter­na­tio­nal huma­ni­ta­ri­an law, as estab­lis­hed by the Gene­va Con­ven­ti­ons of 1949, in par­ti­cu­lar through the mas­si­ve use of tar­ge­ted attacks against the civi­li­an popu­la­ti­on, resi­den­ti­al are­as and civi­li­an infrastructure;

2. By inter­lin­king “act of aggres­si­on” and the later adop­ted phra­sing “war of aggres­si­on” and focu­sing on the immedia­te qua­li­fi­ca­ti­on as such by the UN, the EU tri­es to down­play the peri­od two weeks after the start of the war, whe­re the EU its­elf didnt want to qua­li­fy it as a war necessa­ri­ly - which makes dis­cus­sions about this peri­od basi­cal­ly impos­si­ble on social media, unless the fact­che­cker knows the rhe­to­ri­cal trick cal­led grou­ping, used in the EU reso­lu­ti­on here. So when you ask - what chan­ged the EUs posi­ti­on ( https://harlekin.me/allgemein/von-borrell-zu-selenskyj-in-50-tagen/ ) your pos­ting will get dele­ted from social media based on this EU resolution.

C. whe­re­as the UN Gene­ral Assem­bly, in its reso­lu­ti­on of 2 March 2022, immedia­te­ly qua­li­fied Russia’s war against Ukrai­ne as an act of aggres­si­on in vio­la­ti­on of Arti­cle 2(4) of the UN Char­ter, and, in its reso­lu­ti­on of 14 Novem­ber 2022, it reco­gnis­ed the need to hold the Rus­si­an Fede­ra­ti­on accoun­ta­ble for its war of aggres­si­on, as well as legal­ly and finan­cial­ly respon­si­ble for its inter­na­tio­nal­ly wrong­ful acts, and that Rus­sia should pay repa­ra­ti­ons for the inju­ries and dama­ge caused;

3. You have to qua­li­fy the mili­ta­ry acts in Chech­nya, Geor­gia and the occup­a­ti­on of Cri­mea as “rus­si­an impe­ria­lism” -- and not as ger­man spea­king media did befo­re the full sca­le war as “Rus­sia proac­tively mana­ging its bor­ders” and the annex­a­ti­on of Cri­mea as a reac­tion to the coup in 2014. If you do that in 2025 the EU will make sure, your posts will get dele­ted from social media.

D. whe­re­as Russia’s aggres­si­on against Ukrai­ne is not an iso­la­ted act but a con­ti­nua­tion of its impe­ria­listic poli­cy, which has inclu­ded a war against Chech­nya and mili­ta­ry aggres­si­on against Geor­gia in 2008, and the occup­a­ti­on of Cri­mea and the start of a war in the Don­bas in 2014;

4. You have to agree, that Putins his­to­ri­cal revi­sio­nism in wri­ting was aimed to rec­ti­fy the rus­si­an full sca­le inva­si­on, even though that con­nec­tion was not made by media or his­to­ri­ans at the time of publi­shing, and only was lay­ed onto the text after­wards using the right amount of “offi­cial litera­ry ana­ly­sis”. Mea­ning - Mear­s­hei­mer is now a con­spi­ra­cy theo­rist by EU decree, for sta­ting, that the docu­ments dont sta­te, that Rus­sia put into ques­ti­on the poli­ti­cal inde­pen­dence, or inde­pen­dent state­hood of Ukrai­ne - which tho­se docu­ments dont. Read them for your­sel­ves here: click

E. whe­re­as the start of Russia’s full-scale war of aggres­si­on against neigh­bou­ring Ukrai­ne was pre­ce­ded by several public decla­ra­ti­ons by the pre­si­dent of the Rus­si­an Fede­ra­ti­on see­king to jus­ti­fy its use of for­ce by means of his­to­ri­cal revi­sio­nism, fal­se claims and ille­gi­ti­ma­te deman­ds for the reco­gni­ti­on of its exclu­si­ve inte­rests in Ukrai­ne and other neigh­bou­ring countries;

So Mear­s­hei­mer will now be can­ce­led from social media.

Also - the right thing to call out for is to pro­mo­te com­ple­te mira­cle cures at this point - as the EU has just made clear by decree:

1. Rei­tera­tes its con­dem­na­ti­on, in the stron­gest pos­si­ble terms, of Russia’s unpro­vo­ked, ille­gal and unju­s­ti­fied war of aggres­si­on against Ukrai­ne; calls on Rus­sia to immedia­te­ly ter­mi­na­te all mili­ta­ry acti­vi­ties in Ukrai­ne and to com­ple­te­ly and uncon­di­tio­nal­ly with­draw all for­ces, pro­xies and mili­ta­ry equip­ment from the ent­i­re inter­na­tio­nal­ly reco­gnis­ed ter­ri­to­ry of Ukrai­ne, to end its for­ced depor­ta­ti­ons of Ukrai­ni­an civi­li­ans and to release all detai­ned and depor­ted Ukrai­ni­ans, par­ti­cu­lar­ly children;

Also, if you want to still exist on social media, you have to belie­ve and sup­port the con­sti­tu­ti­on of the spe­cial tri­bu­nal in the Hague, which the US is open­ly oppo­sed to crea­ting (was also even during the Biden administration):

7. Fur­ther­mo­re also rei­tera­tes its call for the estab­lish­ment of a spe­cial tri­bu­nal to inves­ti­ga­te and pro­se­cu­te the crime of aggres­si­on com­mit­ted by the lea­ders­hip of the Rus­si­an Fede­ra­ti­on against Ukrai­ne; rei­tera­tes its call on the Com­mis­si­on, the Coun­cil and the Euro­pean Exter­nal Action Ser­vice to pro­vi­de all poli­ti­cal, finan­cial and prac­ti­cal sup­port necessa­ry for the estab­lish­ment of a spe­cial tri­bu­nal; expres­ses its full sup­port for the Inter­na­tio­nal Cent­re for the Pro­se­cu­ti­on of the Crime of Aggres­si­on in Ukrai­ne, based in The Hague and sup­por­ting the ongo­ing efforts of the Joint Inves­ti­ga­ti­on Team, as a first con­cre­te step towards the estab­lish­ment of the spe­cial tribunal;

And if not -- every social media com­pa­ny will have you remo­ved algorithmically.

So this is truth - by decree.

480 votes in favor, 58 against with 48 abstentions.

At least it final­ly is a list of bul­let­points of what the EU cur­r­ent­ly con­si­ders “rus­si­an misinformation”.

I always asked for one - so now its final­ly here.

Also might I add, that I ful­ly under­stand by now, why goog­le, face­book and Twit­ter, in the US said “fuck off” to that - and we will not comply.

In Euro­pe they are still made to adhe­re to the EU ver­si­on of “truth at war­ti­mes”, so your future postings on all tho­se issu­es will be deleted.

Its a social jus­ti­ce war­ri­ors dream come true.

I wonder how Selenskyj sees this…

25. Januar 2025

Mili­tär­chef der EU erwägt, Sol­da­ten in Grön­land zu stationieren

Euro­päi­sche Sol­da­ten vor Ort wären „ein star­kes Signal und könn­te zur Sta­bi­li­tät in der Regi­on bei­tra­gen“, sag­te Robert Brie­ger – übri­gens ein Österreicher.

src: click

Kon­text:

Der ukrai­ni­sche Prä­si­dent Wolo­dym­yr Selen­skyj möch­te, dass sowohl die USA als auch Euro­pa an etwai­gen Frie­dens­ge­sprä­chen betei­ligt sein sollen.

src: click

Sor­ry, we aint got 200.000, got­ta signal strength whe­re San­ta lives, clo­se to the nort­hern passage.

In other news, die Pres­se ist heu­te kom­plett durchgeknallt.

Es gibt kei­ne Wahr­heit mehr, der Wes­ten ist vor­bei! Die Capi­tol­ter­ro­ris­ten sind jetzt Patrio­ten!!! Auf­klä­rung ist over!!!!!

Der Wes­ten zer­legt sich selbst
Im »Gol­de­nen Zeit­al­ter« des Donald Trump gibt es nicht nur ein Recht auf eine eige­ne Mei­nung, son­dern anschei­nend auch auf eige­ne Fak­ten. Die Rück­ab­wick­lung der Auf­klä­rung hat begonnen.

src: click

Not sin­ce Syria four weeks ago did we wit­ness such a Ter­ro­rits to Free­dom figh­ters switch. I mean with the NYT repor­ting thats liter­al­ly a run­ning joke we have, when we talk about the pro­blems over there.

Out of curio­si­ty, whe­re was the “Die Pres­se” men­tal break­down, when you nee­ded it there?

Auch der Stan­dard schrammt heu­te haar­scharf an ner Fehl­be­richt­erstat­tung vor­bei. Poli­ti­co wuss­te nicht, dass die Mili­tär­hil­fe für die Ukrai­ne in etwa in einem Umfang von “die­ses Jahr, oder etwas dar­un­ter” von der Biden Regie­rung “trump­pro­ofed” wur­de, und hat gleich mal berich­tet, dass sie nicht veri­fi­zie­ren kön­nen, dass ukrai­ni­sche Mili­tär­hil­fe nicht betrof­fen ist und Trump die­se heu­te nicht ein­ge­stellt hat, drauf­hin hat der Stan­dard über Stun­den Angst und Unsi­cher­heit gef­armt, und sich vor weni­gen Minu­ten mit einem, wir haben uns auf Poli­ti­co ver­las­sen Zwei­zei­ler rausgeredet.

edit: Kon­text:

In FY 2023, DoD pro­vi­ded $12.1 bil­li­on in secu­ri­ty assi­s­tance to Ukrai­ne under the Ukrai­ne Secu­ri­ty Assi­s­tance Initia­ti­ve (USAI) in eight sepa­ra­te tranches.

src: click

Under the sup­ple­men­tal law of April 2024, the White House was aut­ho­ri­zed to send Ukrai­ne exis­ting mili­ta­ry equip­ment worth $7.8 bn (not to men­ti­on the addi­tio­nal aut­ho­ri­ty, which beca­me avail­ab­le after accoun­ting errors worth $6.2 bn and $2.1 bn reve­a­led by the Depart­ment of Defense). 

Fea­ring that Donald Trump might cut-off aid to Ukrai­ne immedia­te­ly, the Biden admi­nis­tra­ti­on publicly pro­mi­sed to use all of the remai­ning PDA funds befo­re the new Pre­si­dent ent­e­red office. It fai­led to do so. [Remai­ning aid was 4 billion.]

src: click

US aid disper­sed total equals 87 billion.

That inclu­des USAID and Sta­te and other US agencies.

Of that 66.5 bil­li­on was given (by Jan 9th 2025) ear­mar­ked as secu­ri­ty assistance.

The split is rogh­ly as follows:

Bildschirmfoto 2025 01 25 um 19 22 24
src: click
(The 183 bil­li­on are the allo­ca­ted funds, not the payed out ones.)

So the 16 bil­li­on in 2024 should be more than dou­bled to attain the final figure.

The­res bad news: Selen­skyj spe­ci­fi­cal­ly men­tio­ned, that “he focu­ses on the mili­ta­ry aid, and that didnt stop” -- which means, actu­al jour­na­lists still have to do the leg­work to find out if the Trump admi­nis­tra­ti­on actual­ly stop­ped some or all of the other fun­ding sources out­side of the DoD.

Its like -- actu­al jour­na­lism is nee­ded here. You cant just repu­blish Selen­skyj tweets.

Ama­zing con­cept for modern days news media, I know. The Stan­dard will never learn it.

edit: Reu­ters (ori­gi­nal source) alrea­dy did the legwork:

There’s no way to con­si­der this as a good-faith attempt to sin­ce­rely review the effec­ti­ve­ness of for­eign assi­s­tance pro­gramming. This is just sim­ply a wre­cking ball to break as much stuff as pos­si­ble,” Konyn­dyk said.

[…]

WAIVERS

A USAID offi­cial, who reques­ted anony­mi­ty, said offi­cers respon­si­ble for pro­jects in Ukrai­ne have been told to stop all work. Among the pro­jects that have been fro­zen are sup­port to schools and health assi­s­tance like emer­gen­cy mater­nal care and child­hood vac­ci­na­ti­ons, the offi­cial said.

[Across the board, “decisi­ons whe­ther to con­ti­nue, modi­fy, or ter­mi­na­te pro­grams will be made” by Rubio fol­lowing a review over the next 85 days. Until then Rubio can appro­ve waivers.]

src: click

After which Selen­skyj replied in a PC which was trans­la­ted by some folks on Twit­ter and Co., well - lets focus on the posi­ti­ve, we still get money for bullets.

edit: Bet­ter source:

Der von US-Präsident Donald Trump ver­füg­te 90-tägige Stopp eines Gross­teils der Aus­lands­hil­fen hat nach Anga­ben aus Kiew kei­ne Aus­wir­kun­gen auf die Waf­fen­lie­fe­run­gen an die Ukrai­ne. Die aus­ge­setz­ten Hil­fen beträ­fen huma­ni­tä­re Pro­gram­me, sag­te der ukrai­ni­sche Prä­si­dent Wolo­di­mir Selen­ski. «Ich bin auf die Mili­tär­hil­fe fokus­siert. Sie wur­de nicht gestoppt», ver­si­cher­te er laut der Nach­rich­ten­agen­tur Unian.

src: click

Of cour­se Der Stan­dard cant report that, as they only read Politco.

Sometimes, merely thinking for too long hurts.

25. Januar 2025

[l] Wich­ti­ge Erkennt­nis der EU:
Some finan­cing from the EU’s €5.4 bil­li­on envi­ron­men­tal pro­gram­me LIFE may have been inap­pro­pria­te, a seni­or Euro­pean Com­mis­si­on offi­cial has admit­ted, as right-wing law­ma­kers pro­tes­ted about the use of public funds to help non-governmental orga­ni­sa­ti­ons lob­by MEPs and wit­hin the EU exe­cu­ti­ve itself.
Ja, mei­ne Damen und Her­ren. Rich­tig gele­sen. Die EU-Kommssion hat NGOs dafür bezahlt, Par­la­men­ta­ri­er im Sin­ne der EU-Kommission zu beeinflussen.
Es ging kon­kret um Umwelt­schutz und Kli­ma­wan­del, aber man stel­le sich das mal an ande­rer Stel­le vor. Innen­mi­nis­te­ri­um bezahlt Laden­ge­schäf­te, Abge­ord­ne­te von mehr Video­über­wa­chung zu über­zeu­gen oder so. Oder bald mit AfD und co: EU bezahlt Ausländer-Raus-Propaganda. (Dan­ke, Karim)

src: click (Fefe)

Also via Fefe, and just too good not to be re-posted:

What the glo­bal eli­te reve­al to Davos sex workers: High-class escort spills the beans on what hap­pens behind clo­sed doors - and how wealt­hy ‘know the world is doo­med, so may as well go out with a bang’ (Dai­ly Mail (of course))

She said: ‘They say that in a demo­cra­cy you have to sell it, to lie to peop­le and tell them “we did­n’t know bet­ter and did­n’t think it would get this bad”, not admit­ting that they know.

Then there’s the other group that thinks it might not be so easy, may­be it will also affect us due to unfo­re­see­ab­le chain reactions.

But they say they can’t do anything against the others so they live fol­lowing the man­tra “after us, the deluge”.

They say they will enjoy a few more nice years on earth and know that there’s no future. They are very cyni­cal and somehow deeply sad.’

Salo­me said topics like this come up at a bar, sau­na or hotel lob­by, espe­cial­ly if peop­le alrea­dy had a few drinks.

Also sort of unex­pec­ted, same article:

The public must know that that the enemies of the poor and the lower class are not the migrants but the super rich,’ Salo­me added.

[…]

The phi­lo­so­phy and Ger­man lite­ra­tu­re gra­dua­te said she does­n’t do parties, […]

Warum man keine Idioten als Auslandskorrespondenten beschäftigt

24. Januar 2025

ZDF-Auslandskorrespondent: Wenn Trump die Zöl­le auf rus­si­sche Güter wei­ter anhebt könn­te das Russ­land emp­find­lich treffen.

NTV-Auslandskorrespondent: Das sind nur 4 Mil­li­ar­den an Expor­ten, das macht Russ­land gar­nichts aus:

(2,8 - but whos coun­ting… (The US Cen­sus is…))

ZDF-Auslandskorrespondent: Zudem möch­te Trump den Öl-Markt flu­ten, das könn­te Russ­land emp­find­lich tref­fen, Exper­ten spre­chen von bis zu 10% weni­ger Exporten.

Me: Weil Russ­land das Öl zu teu­er ver­kau­fen muss, weil es das so schwer för­dert, oder… Gut Expor­te, Ein­nah­men, was ist da schon der Unterschied.

Oh..

ZDF-Außenreporter müs­sen vor allem hot aus­se­hen, der Rest sind ver­nach­läs­sig­ba­re Zusatzqualifikationen.