Because its 20 USD Tuesday, so lets get a donation train rolling?
I’m currently watching this (see below) - and would really like to know.
The favorite conference of Timothy Snyder (see: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/mar/30/how-timothy-snyder-became-the-leading-interpreter-of-our-dark-times-putin-trump-ukraine , see also: click) has gone into another round!
Here is what was discussed - with heavy US participation and moderation this time around:
What Does This War Mean for the Future of Mankind and Today’s Civilization?
Then of course we venture over to
What Heroes Fight For and Give Their Lives For
And yes, at least one hero sadly has died.
Of course, leaving ample time to get into the really important, detailed stuff, like --
What Works In Today’s World and What Must Be Changed? (with Boris Johnson)
Which is foreshadowing the next panel of -
To Security and Justice in an Unsafe World: Concrete Steps
Then comes the conference highlight:
A Conversation with George W. Bush: Ukraine and NATO: Looking Back to 2008 and to the Future
Before really getting into the deep fiscal debates of -
Supporting Ukraine Is the Best You Can Do For the Global Economy?
After which its finally time for a -
Working Breakfast: Institutions, Mechanisms and Plans for Ukraine’s Reconstruction.
Which leads into the aptly named -
The Economy of Survival and the Economy of Recovery
Which means for any bankrupt country pleasing international investors of course, so we get to
Reforms, Democracy and Ukraine’s Accession to NATO and the EU
next.
But then they are more interested in -
The Military Front
Now we come to the aspirational part of the Conference.
The Power of Ukraine’s Ideas
but what would the Power of Ukraine’s ideas be without Nationalism? So lets have a session on:
Has the West Learned from Its Mistakes After Years of Neglecting Ukraine to cooperate with Russia.
Then, straight into
Healing Ukraine: Rehabilitation and Mental Health
(Because Hero sadly died?)
But then back on track with the best our military leadership can muster in terms of bringing this to a military end, which of course is a panel on -
Path to Victory: A View from the US Government
After having heard so much regarding the future of Ukraine, its time for - a Townhall:
Townhall What is the Definition of Victory as of September 9, 2023?
Topic: Victory, what does that even mean?!
But honestly I have no idea what this is:
Of 8 Billion People, How Many Are on Ukraine’s Side?
Maybe a public educational function/initiative of the ukrainian state?
Maybe we can ask him?
Conversion with Kyrylo Budanov, Lieutenant General, Chief of the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine
Thats it, thank you for your attention and may we see you next year!
Closing Remarks
Havent found any PR here so far though.
Natalia Gumeniuk (the moderator in the Nuland video), for those who dont know her here, is a ukrainian PR person, that does focus testing, on what messaging to use to educate the public on topics regarding the ukraine war (https://en.journlab.online/home)
We create high quality content to promote a constructive discussion around complex social topics, and test this content on audiences, before developing editorial strategies based on the sociological research. Our experts research public opinion and test content among different audiences, and media architects develop editorial strategies based on sociological research and audiences’ feedback.
Her agency is funded by the ukrainian government and the Stavros Niarchos Foundation SNF Agora Institute at Johns Hopkins University. Stavros Niachos was the, since deceased, greek billionaire shipping company mogule who got to buy all US war ships in europe after WW2 for pennies on the dollar, to start his shipping empire with. Ah the stories.…
Here is Gumeniuk telling an audience, how great the ukrainian patrol police is, which all journalists in the Ukraine have to get accredited by, by now. Including a christmas tree in the story and everything.… Great people, by the way, which invited her to concerts first and later also organized the first journalists trips to Bucha. (Just one guy in the audience wasnt complying and asked a nasty question, otherwise that event was great.):
Zusatz:
Gut - jetzt bestätigt auf der Konferenz Christian Freuding, was deutsche Journalisten bereits vor 23 Tagen hören durften:
Sehempfehlung wegen etwas ganz Anderem. Der Journalismus freut sich wieder und springt nickend und lächelnd im Kreis, weil er endlich wieder Cathryn Clüver Ashbrook befragen kann, wies denn jetzt weitergeht.
Er war seit zwei Wochen jetzt bereits so gespannt drauf.
Clüver Ashbrook erklärt dem deutschen Qualitätsjournalismus heute - ja also so 10 Jahre Krieg würde ich für Deutschland schon einplanen
You couldnt take it for more than two weeks. Its against the law.
Now back to the important questions at hand.
How has the US filmcrew that worked on a documentary about lovers who died in a vulcanic erruption, which was in austria by accident, where they were just finishing another project, managed to get into the Schwarzwald and talk to Navalny (whos behind security detailing at that point), and convince him that - and I quote “the documentary will be your insurance policy”, to subsequently participate in the sundance film festival (AGAIN?! Die “gewonnenen Awards” von 20 Days in Mariupol wurden in den letzten Monaten aufgehübscht. Die beste Doku des Jahres! Sagt das Sundance Film Festival. Und die Docudays UA (Ukraine), und das DocAviv Festival in Israel. Und das Festival der Cinema for Peace Foundation in Berlin. Und CPH:DOX (Jurypreis! Aber ernstzunehmendes Filmfestival) und natürlich das Cleveland International Film Festival mit seinem berühmten Greg Gund Memorial Standing UP Award!) - and only shortly after the documentary premiered at sundance -- hundred-thousands, if not millions of people already saw it online. And from social media monitoring we even know, that it drew traction in russia.
Which is obviously the answer to the moderator of the Institute of Politics at Harvard Kennedy School asking the panel twice - how that documentary has been received in russia, how wide spread its recognition was, and what its impact has been.
You know following the usual publishing schedule of “we release it for free in the second week after it premieres at sundance”, and then have people at a Kennedy school panel pronounce proudly, that as soon as one server in russia was taken down, another one popped up, because this was so crowd sourced.
The Sundance Premiere was on January 25th 2022, the first torrents released 8 days later on February the 3rd. (see: click)
AVC
Format/Info : Advanced Video Codec
Format profile : High@L4.1
Bit rate mode : Variable
Bit rate : 2 042 kb/s
Maximum bit rate : 2 000 kb/s
Width : 960 pixels
Height : 480 pixels
Which was before the imdb page of the film was even crawled by google, which happened on the 29th of February 2022.
Specified as a Webrip. So not as a screener. Which is rather odd, because the Wikipedia page of the movie doesnt mention any webrelease back then…
In fact the first documented scene release (with an actual .nfo file) happened three months later on the 29th of May 2022, the source then was being indicated as HBO Max. Which funnily enough had released the film for streaming on 26th of May 2022, with the only prior airing being on CNN on the 28th of April 2022, according to the films wikipedia page.
Also, Meduza reported this in March 2023:
Anti-Corruption Foundation employees share free pirated version of ‘Navalny’ documentary
11:33 am, March 14, 2023Source: Meduza
Several top employees of Alexey Navalny’s Anti-Corruption Foundation (FBK) shared links to a free and presumably pirated online version of the film Navalny, which won the Academy Award for best feature documentary on Sunday, on Twitter and Telegram.
The version of the film available on the site linked by the activists includes the original English-language audio with Russian subtitles. There’s currently no legal way to watch the film in Russia.
In the posts where they shared the link to the film, the FBK employees jokingly feigned frustration that the film had been “leaked” by “pirates.” Alexey Navalny’s press secretary, Kira Yarmysh, has not responded to Meduza’s questions about whether the Anti-Corruption Foundation is associated with the site, though she also shared the link on Twitter.
Which is also great, because the Anti-Corruption Foundation employees coincidentally “found” the movie about one year after its initial leak online, and then reshared it, just in time, after it won the Oscar.
Great publisher, btw, that sees all that and just isnt in it for the money… Warner Bros. btw.
Of course the film makers were touched and their bussom swole with pride, when Navalny told them, that he decided to move back to Russia again, where “they arrested him before he even got his passport back”. [Bad research on part of the Moderator by the way - because the more noteworthy aspect was, that they rerouted his flight to another airport so media and the public wouldnt interrupt the arrest too much…], and then they already got their second Oscar nomination, and subsequent win - the next year, so everything worked out well.
Nevermind what happened to Navalny. The panel of course indicates that his spirits are still high and his will is unbroken, which can be gleaned from his “15 theses of a Russian citizen who desires the best for their country” (see below).
The film producer won an Oscar three years prior of course, for a documentary about Brasil, a country on the edge of democracy.
So it really was good luck, that the Filmcrew was already in Austria, when Navalny was in Schwarzwald.
And who is that in the same panel? Oh, its Christo Grozev! Who runs bellingcat! Which in Grostevs own words is not the Anti-Wikileaks, its really so much more responsible (responsible disclosure) than Wikileaks ever was.
It already stopped taking funding from the U.S. government’s National Endowment for Democracy last year.
So any potential associations with Wikileaks founder Assange are just entirely misplaced.
Very bad, that solitary confinement, very bad.
In Russia it normally wouldnt even be legal for more than two weeks in a row. But do you know the trick the russians use to get around that?
The Harvard Kennedy Center for Politics will tell you! In this video.
Just stay with it - at least until the moment the filmmaker explains to you his “container of meaning” concept of documentary filmmaking.
edit: Everyone on the panel also was nothing but impressed by Navalnys
15 theses of a Russian citizen who desires the best for their country
- of course:
On the eve of the anniversary of the full-scale and unprovoked invasion of Ukraine by Russian troops, I have summarized the political platform of mine and, hopefully, of many other decent people.
15 theses of a Russian citizen who desires the best for their country.
What was all this about and what are we dealing with now?
President Putin has unleashed an unjust war of aggression against Ukraine under ridiculous pretexts. He is desperately trying to make this a “people’s war,” seeking to turn all Russian citizens into his accomplices, but his attempts are failing. There are almost no volunteers for this war, so Putin’s army has to rely on convicts and forcibly mobilized people.
The real reasons for this war are the political and economic problems within Russia, Putin’s desire to hold on to power at any cost, and his obsession with his own historical legacy. He wants to go down in history as “the conqueror tsar” and “the collector of lands.”
Tens of thousands of innocent Ukrainians have been murdered, and pain and suffering has befallen millions more. War crimes have been committed. Ukrainian cities and infrastructure have been destroyed.
Russia is suffering a military defeat. It was the realization of this fact that changed the rhetoric of the authorities from claims that “Kyiv will fall in three days” to hysterical threats of using nuclear weapons should Russia lose. The lives of tens of thousands of Russian soldiers were needlessly ruined. The ultimate military defeat may be delayed at the cost of the lives of hundreds of thousands more mobilized soldiers, but it is generally inevitable. The combination of aggressive warfare, corruption, inept generals, weak economy, and heroism and high motivation of the defending forces can only result in defeat. The Kremlin’s deceitful and hypocritical calls for negotiations and ceasefire are nothing more than a realistic assessment of the prospects of further military action.
What are Ukraine’s borders? They are similar to Russia’s - they’re internationally recognized and defined in 1991 [this includes Crimea, which is a reversal of position by Navalny on the day of the release of the 15 theses]. Russia also recognized these borders back then, and it must recognize them today as well. There is nothing to discuss here. Almost all borders in the world are more or less accidental and cause someone’s discontent. But in the twenty-first century, we cannot start wars just to redraw them. Otherwise, the world will sink into chaos.
Russia must leave Ukraine alone and allow it to develop the way its people want. Stop the aggression, end the war and withdraw all of its troops from Ukraine. Continuation of this war is just a tantrum caused by powerlessness, and putting an end to it would be a strong move.
Together with Ukraine, the U.S., the EU and the UK, we must look for acceptable ways to compensate for the damage done to Ukraine. One way to achieve this would be lifting the restrictions imposed on our oil and gas, but directing part of the income Russia receives from hydrocarbon exports towards reparations. Of course, this should only be done after the change of power in Russia and the end of the war.
War crimes committed during this war must be investigated in cooperation with international institutions.
Are all Russians inherently imperialistic? This is nonsense. For example, Belarus is also involved in the war against Ukraine. Does this mean that the Belarusians also have an imperial mindset? No, they merely also have a dictator in power. There will always be people with imperial views in Russia, just like in any other country with historical preconditions for this, but they are far from being the majority. There is no reason to weep and wail about it. Such people should be defeated in elections, just as both right-wing and left-wing radicals get defeated in developed countries.
Does Russia need new territories? Russia is a vast country with a shrinking population and dying out rural areas. Imperialism and the urge to seize territory is the most harmful and destructive path. Once again, the Russian government is destroying our future with its own hands just in order to make our country look bigger on the map. But Russia is big enough as it is. Our objective should be preserving our people and developing what we have in abundance.
For Russia, the legacy of this war will be a whole tangle of complex and, at first glance, almost unsolvable problems. It is important to establish for ourselves that we really want to solve them, and then begin to do so honestly and openly. The key to success lies in understanding that ending the war as soon as possible will not only be good for Russia and its people, but also very profitable. This is the only way to start progressing toward removal of sanctions, return of those who left, restoration of business confidence, and economic growth.
Let me re-emphasize that after the war, we will have to reimburse Ukraine for all the damage caused by Putin’s aggression. However, the restoration of normal economic relations with the civilized world and the return of economic growth will allow us to do so without interfering with the development of our country. We have hit rock bottom, and in order to resurface, we need to bounce back from it. This would be both ethically correct, rational, and profitable.
We need to dismantle the Putin regime and its dictatorship. Ideally, through conducting general free elections and convocating the Constitutional Assembly.
We need to establish a parliamentary republic based on the alternation of power through fair elections, independent courts, federalism, local self-governance, complete economic freedom and social justice.
Recognizing our history and traditions, we must be part of Europe and follow the European path of development. We have no other choice, nor do we need any.
edit: Korrektur: Die 3mm Kugeln sind vermutlich nur “steele spheres”, die rund um eine shaped charge angeordnet sind. Von den shaped charges befinden sich zumindest in chinesischen Varianten nur knapp 40 pro Marschflugkörper.
src: click
Die NZZ hat heute mal vermittelt woher das eigentlich kommt, dass die westliche Cluster-Ammunition eine um so viel geringere Blindgängerrate aufweist als die russische.
Naja, das ist ganz einfach.
In der Stimme des russischen Soldaten schwingt verhaltene Bewunderung mit. Er ist wütend und verängstigt, aber auch beeindruckt von den Möglichkeiten westlicher Militärtechnologie. 182 000 Kugeln decken in einer einzigen Salve eine Fläche von einer halben Quadratmeile ab und vermögen Hunderte von russischen Soldaten zu treffen.
Soweit ich weiss, besitzen die Kugeln in den Cluster-Granaten einen Durchmesser von etwa drei Millimetern. Was heisst, das Ergebnis wird kein erfreuliches sein.
Blindgänger, welche Blindgänger? Also ich seh keine. Sehen sie Blindgänger Herr Studienleiter? Nein, der schüttelt auch den Kopf. Also notieren wir “beinahe Blindgänger frei”.
Das wird ja richtig heiter bei der Räumung der Gebiete…
Ich habe ja mal unlängst den Vorschlag gemacht, dass man anstatt ukrainischen Bauern in Rente die auf ihrem Land nach Minen suchen, dafür durchaus auch mal einen EU Pensionisten nehmen könnte. Ich mein mit Annalena als Schirmherrin der Räumungsinitiativen wär das doch ganz passend.
Heute muss ich den Zusatz anfügen - “den kann man dann durchs betroffene Gebiet rollen, und wenn der ne Kugel von 3mm Durchmesser findet, dann merkt der das schon”.
Wird das aber heiter, wenn später bei der Minenräumung ganze Landstriche mit 182.000 Metallkugeln pro 1.25km² saturiert sind.
ZDF Auslandskorrespondenten erklären den Zuschauern den Wertewesten. Auf dem G20-Gipfel in Indien.
Alles Deutsche. Die Besten der Besten. Ausländer haben sie auf dem G20 Gipfels sicherheitshalber gleich gar nicht vor die Kamera geholt. Ich meine bei denen kann man sich ja nie sicher sein, was die da in die Kamera erzählen - nein so geht das nicht. Da nehmen wir natürlich lieber nur unsere eigenen Korrespondenten, lassen die aber vorher alle sicherheitshalber nach Indien fliegen.
Für den Background.
Eh klar.
Flammende Ansprachen.
Hier die Flammendste:
US Korrespondent [dem man sicherheitshalber auch gleich die Moderation umgehängt hat, man kann ja nie vorsichtig genug sein]: “Man hat den Eindruck China will das, aber wollen die anderen Länder wie Indien das eigentlich auch? Und es steht an oberster Stelle dann nur - wir wollen Entwicklung haben und wenn der Autoritarismus uns da besser zum Ziel führt, dann - wer will dann schon noch liberale Demokratie, oder Menschenrechte?”
ZDF Hauptstadtkorrespondent: “Ich glaube das noch nicht. Das sieht im Moment so aus. Im Moment ist der Westen wirklich in einer Defensive, also auch wir sehen ja was in Afrika passiert. Eine gewählte Regierung nach der anderen wird weggeputscht und so weiter, aber wir machen uns manchmal auch mehr so ein bisschen lustig über die Werte und den Wertewesten und so weiter [Meine Güte die Argumentation fliegt heute aber tief! Stimmt, wir sollten einfach alle kritischen Stimmen deplattformen. Viel besser für Demokratie, und so weiter.], aber der hat eine riesige Anziehungskraft für die Leute!
Hollywood, Kinofilme die Sprache Englisch - das ist ja alles für die, für die normalen Leute da [THEWHATNOW?!] und die sehen ja auch, dass die Führer, die Anführer des globalen Westens [meint die anderen, ist aber Hauptstadtkorrespondent muss man wissen] sich an der Macht halten weil sie ihre Gegner vom Himmel schießen, in der Botschaft zersägen lassen [Mooooooooooooment, guter Freund des Westens! Guter Freund!] oder mit Militärputsch wegschießen. Ich glaube dass wir da die, die westlichen Werte noch nicht abschreiben sollten und ich glaube auch dass die Anziehungskraft auf Dauer größer sein wird als das was wir jetzt im Moment sehen.
Diese Gesellschaft ist das absoilut grotesk, abartigst Allerletzte.
Um einen Eindruck zu vermitteln wer das denn da sagt - hier vielleicht noch eine kleine visuelle Stütze…
Ich glaub auf den haben die Inder gewartet.
Sie wissen es (laut ihm) nur noch nicht.
Oder halt die 80 Jährige Witwe, die er als Stammseher beim ZDF bedient.
edit: Kontext - Wobei laut dem Hauptstadtkorrespondenten des ZDF haben die alle einfach noch nicht genug Filme gesehen. Hollywood Filme vor allem. Und die englische Sprache schätzen die auch nicht.
edit2: Der Standard hat heute einen kreativen Weg da raus gefunden! Die G20 kämpfen gerade um ihr Überleben!
Der Überlebenskampf der G20
Die wichtigsten Industrie- und Schwellenländer konnten sich in Indien nur mit Mühe auf eine Abschlusserklärung einigen. Diese sorgt für Kritik aus der Ukraine
Gut - beeinflussen wollte der Wertewesten sie natürlich trotzdem… Selber Artikel:
Lob aus dem Westen
Westliche Länder wie die USA und Deutschland versuchten den Gipfel als Erfolg zu verkaufen. Die Abschlusserklärung sei “ein großer Schritt nach vorn” – etwa mit Blick auf die Souveränität und territoriale Integrität von Staaten, sagte der stellvertretende nationale Sicherheitsberater der USA, Jon Finer. Und der deutsche Bundeskanzler Olaf Scholz erklärte, es habe ein “klares Bekenntnis” dazu gegeben, dass die territoriale Integrität von Staaten wie der Ukraine außer Frage stehe.
Tatsächlich aber ist der Westen vor Russland und China eingeknickt, und es stellt sich die Frage nach dem Warum. Der offensichtlichste Grund ist, dass man Moskau dazu bewegen möchte, wieder zum Getreidedeal zurückzukehren. Dieser hatte trotz des Krieges den Export von ukrainischem Getreide über das Schwarze Meer ermöglicht.
Doch kein Todesstoß
Der zweite Grund ist eher existenzieller Natur. Hätte es keine Abschlusserklärung gegeben und wäre der Gipfel damit gescheitert, dann, so ein westlicher Verhandlungsteilnehmer zur Deutschen Presseagentur, hätte er schon folgende Schlagzeilen vor sich gesehen: “Das Ende der G20” oder “Todesstoß für die G20”. Und das in Zeiten, in denen andere Bündnisse wie die G7 oder Brics immer bedeutender werden. Man habe also dem Kompromiss zugestimmt, um die G20 am Leben zu halten.
Falls jemandem noch nicht klar ist, warum der Ukraine Krieg weiter gehen muss, und er/sie bei den US republican debates nach einer Antwort sucht - hier ist was Politiker die sich als Präsidenten Anwärter in den US sehen dazu wissen:
Nikki Haley (01:32:01):
First of all, the American president needs to have moral clarity. They need to know the difference between right and wrong. They need to know the difference between good and evil. When you look at the situation with Russia and Ukraine, here you have a pro-American country that was invaded by a thug. When you want to talk about what has been given to Ukraine, less than 3.5% of our defense budget has been given to Ukraine. If you look at the percentages per GDP, 11 of the European countries have given more than the US. But what’s really important is go back to when China and Russia held hands, shook hands before the Olympics and named themselves unlimited partners.
A win for Russia is a win for China. We have to know that. Ukraine is the first line of defense for us. The problem that Vivek doesn’t understand is he wants to hand Ukraine to Russia, he wants to let China eat Taiwan, he wants to go and stop funding Israel. You don’t do that to friends. What you do instead is you have the backs of your friends. Ukraine, it’s a front line of defense. Putin has said once Russia takes Ukraine, Poland and the Baltics are next. That’s a world war. We’re trying to prevent war. Look at what Putin did today. He killed Prigozhin. When I was at the UN, the Russian ambassador suddenly died. This guy is a murderer and you are choosing a murderer over a pro-American country.
Wir führen diesen Krieg wegen moral clarity. Es ist eben wichtig als US Präsident zwischen Gut und Böse unterscheiden zu können. Wie man zischen Gut und Böse entscheidet ist klar, das gute pro-amerikanische Land wurde von einem Verbrecher überfallen. Dass erst 3.5% des US Defense Budgets in die Ukraine investiert wurden ist eine Schande. In percentage of GDP geben 11 europäische Länder mehr als die US.
Was aber neben zwischen Gut und Böse unterscheiden noch viel wichtiger ist ist, dass wenn Russland gewinnt, China gewinnt. Und wir das wissen. DIe Ukraine ist ja die erste “Line of Defense” gegen China. Denn das was mein Gegenkandidat nicht versteht ist, dass wenn wir die Ukraine Russland “geben”, China gleich auch Taiwan frisst. Denn mein Gegenkandidat will ja auch Israel die Finanzierung entziehen. Was man mit Freunden nicht macht. Die Ukraine ist eine Frontlinie der Verteidigung. Putin hat gesagt, dass wenn er die Ukraine nimmt, Polen und das Baltikum die nächsten sind. [Richtigstellung: Hat er nicht.] So kommt es zum Weltkrieg. Wir verhindern in der Ukraine den Weltkrieg. Schaut was Putin heute gemacht hat, er hat Prigoschin getötet.
Als ich bei der UN war, ist der russische Botschafter plötzlich verstorben. Dieser Mann ist ein Killer und mein Gegenkandidat wählt lieber einen Mörder als ein pro-amerikanisches Land.
Gut - jetzt ist das vielleicht nichts was in den US Eindruck schindet, und die Dame ist vielleicht einfach nur hoffnungslos ihrem Intellekt enteilt - also schauen wir uns die aktuellen Umfragedaten in den US an…
Diese Webseite verwendet Cookies um die Nutzungserfahrung für seine Besucher zu verbessern. Bitte informiere dich bei Gelegenheit darüber wie sich Cookies auf deine Privatsphäre im Web auswirken.
