Autorenarchiv

What is manufacturing consent?

16. März 2022

DW’s Washing­ton bureau chief Ines Pohl, star­ting at 5 minu­tes in.

Ent­ry point:

This was about hearts and minds, if I can put it that way, he hit lots of emo­tio­nal points, that par­ti­cu­lar­ly hit home to ame­ri­cans, he tailo­red that speech to his audience.”

Abso­lute­ly, ah, ah Phil. He real­ly under­stands, how to reach a spe­ci­fic audi­ence, I mean - we mus­tn’t for­get, he is a trai­ned come­di­an [?], and he real­ly knows how -, kind of, you know, which but­tons to push to reach, as you say - the hearts and minds of the audi­ence, and he did so - I mean, just by invo­king all the tra­ge­dies in the ame­ri­can histo­ry, like the attack on Perl Har­bor, or the 9/11 ter­ro­rist attack, with the­se - images - he invo­ked in the speech, he did­n’t only reach out to the law­ma­kers and poli­ti­ci­ans, but also to every sin­gle ame­ri­can, and on top of that, he play­ed this - very emo­tio­nal, ah, video, so he also under­stands, how to use images. So in a way that was a very, very - modern [?] speech, we just heard from pre­si­dent Selenskyj.”

Advan­ced course -

Meta Plat­forms (FB.O) will allow Face­book and Insta­gram users in some coun­tries to call for vio­lence against Rus­si­ans and Rus­si­an sol­di­ers in the con­text of the Ukrai­ne inva­si­on, accord­ing to inter­nal emails seen by Reu­ters on Thurs­day, in a tem­pora­ry chan­ge to its hate speech policy.

Repor­ting by Mun­sif Ven­gat­til in New Delhi and Eliza­beth Cul­li­ford in New York; edi­t­ing by Jona­than Oatis, Ste­phen Coa­tes, Shri Nava­rat­nam and Kim Coghill

src: click

Now retrac­ted:

Meta Plat­forms, the parent com­pa­ny of social media giants Face­book and Insta­gram, now says users can­not share posts cal­ling for the death of Rus­si­an pre­si­dent Vla­di­mir Putin or other heads of sta­te after all.

The move came as Russia’s ban on Insta­gram came into effect on Mon­day, blo­cking access to the social media plat­form for some 80 mil­li­on users across the country.

Meta’s latest poli­cy, detail­ed in an inter­nal com­pa­ny post seen by Reu­ters, marks a U-turn from a pre­vious decisi­on that was said to tem­pora­ri­ly allow some posts on Face­book and Insta­gram cal­ling for the death of Putin or his Bela­ru­si­an coun­ter­part Alex­an­der Lukashenko.

We are now nar­ro­wing the focus to make it expli­ci­tly clear in the gui­d­ance that it is never to be inter­pre­ted as con­do­ning vio­lence against Rus­si­ans in gene­ral,” Meta glo­bal affairs pre­si­dent Nick Clegg wro­te on Sunday in a post on the company’s inter­nal plat­form that was seen by Reuters.

We also do not per­mit calls to assas­si­na­te a head of state…So, in order to remo­ve any ambi­gui­ty about our stance, we are fur­ther nar­ro­wing our gui­d­ance to make expli­cit that we are not allowing calls for the death of a head of sta­te on our plat­forms,” Clegg said.

src: click

Back­ground:

[Wal­ter] Lipp­man argues that, when pro­per­ly deploy­ed in the public inte­rest, the manu­fac­tu­re of con­sent is use­ful and necessa­ry for a cohe­si­ve socie­ty, becau­se, in many cases, “the com­mon inte­rests” of the public are not obvious except upon care­ful ana­ly­sis of the collec­ted data, a cri­ti­cal intel­lec­tu­al exer­cise in which most peop­le are unin­te­res­ted or are inca­pa­ble of doing. The­re­fo­re, most peop­le must have the world sum­ma­ri­zed for them by the well-informed, and will then act accordingly.

That the manu­fac­tu­re of con­sent is capa­ble of gre­at refi­ne­ments no one, I think, denies. The pro­cess by which public opi­ni­ons ari­se is cer­tain­ly no less intri­ca­te than it has appeared in the­se pages, and the oppor­tu­nities for mani­pu­la­ti­on open to anyo­ne who under­stands the pro­cess are plain enough.… [a]s a result of psy­cho­lo­gi­cal rese­arch, cou­pled with the modern means of com­mu­ni­ca­ti­on, the prac­ti­ce of demo­cra­cy has tur­ned a cor­ner. A revo­lu­ti­on is taking place, infi­ni­te­ly more signi­fi­cant than any shif­ting of eco­no­mic power.… Under the impact of pro­pa­gan­da, not necessa­ri­ly in the sinis­ter mea­ning of the word alo­ne, the old con­stants of our thin­king have beco­me varia­bles. It is no lon­ger pos­si­ble, for examp­le, to belie­ve in the ori­gi­nal dog­ma of demo­cra­cy; that the know­ledge nee­ded for the manage­ment of human affairs comes up spon­ta­ne­ous­ly from the human heart. Whe­re we act on that theo­ry we expo­se our­sel­ves to self-deception, and to forms of per­sua­si­on that we can­not veri­fy. It has been demons­tra­ted that we can­not rely upon intui­ti­on, con­sci­ence, or the acci­dents of casu­al opi­ni­on if we are to deal with the world bey­ond our reach.
— Wal­ter Lipp­mann, Public Opi­ni­on, Chap­ter XV

The poli­ti­cal eli­te are mem­bers of the class of peop­le who are inca­pa­ble of accu­rate­ly under­stan­ding, by them­sel­ves, the com­plex “unse­en envi­ron­ment” whe­r­ein the public affairs of the modern sta­te occur; thus, Lipp­mann pro­po­ses that a pro­fes­sio­nal, “spe­cia­li­zed class” collect and ana­ly­ze data, and pre­sent their con­clu­si­ons to the society’s decisi­on makers, who, in their turn, use the “art of per­sua­si­on” to inform the public about the decisi­ons and cir­cum­s­tan­ces affec­ting them.[5]

Public Opi­ni­on pro­po­ses that the incre­a­sed power of pro­pa­gan­da and the spe­cia­li­zed know­ledge requi­red for effec­ti­ve poli­ti­cal decisi­ons have ren­de­red the tra­di­tio­nal noti­on of demo­cra­cy impos­si­ble. The phra­se “manu­fac­tu­re of con­sent” was intro­du­ced, which the aca­de­mics Noam Chom­sky and Edward S. Her­man used as the tit­le of their book Manu­fac­tu­ring Con­sent: The Poli­ti­cal Eco­no­my of the Mass Media (1988). Chom­sky has exten­si­ve­ly cri­ti­ci­zed Lippman’s the­sis as deeply oppo­sed to democracy.

src: click

edit: More back­ground: click

ZDF Frontal hat die Verteidiger Europas gefunden!

16. März 2022

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rWL0mxewelk
Kri­tisch, inves­ti­ga­tiv, uner­schro­cken. Was der Repor­ter sonst so gefun­den hat: Ein gepan­zer­tes Fahr­zeug zum rum­fah­ren. Die Per­so­nen­schüt­zer in dem Fahr­zeug, die aber jetzt huma­ni­tär tätig sind, und “Leu­te aus Kiev her­aus­ho­len, und Medi­ka­men­te aus Odes­sa besor­gen”, und nicht mal das ist ihnen jetzt mög­lich… Russ­land bekämpft sogar huma­ni­tä­re Hil­fe! Einen ehe­ma­li­gen bekann­ten Fern­seh­mo­de­ra­tor, jetzt in Uni­form (Dani­el Salem, belieb­tes Motiv, der war schon öfter vor der Kame­ra, Jour­na­lis­ten­netz­wer­ke, nehm ich an), eine inspi­rie­ren­de Anspra­che (“Wir leben auf einem Pla­ne­ten, der Erde heißt, …”), die seit den per­ma­nen­ten Anspra­chen von Selen­skyj popu­lä­re For­de­rung, dass die Nato den ukrai­ni­schen Luft­raum sichern soll, sogar in popu­lä­rer Aus­prä­gung - von vie­len die das for­dern! Agen­tur Bil­der aus dem von Russ­land beschos­se­nen, west­li­chen Mili­tär­stütz­punkt nahe Polen, obwohl der Repor­ter gera­de noch auf dem Weg nach Odes­sa war, eine Anspra­che Selen­sky­js, Clau­dia Major von der Stif­tung Wis­sen­schaft und Poli­tik in Ber­lin, Anna und ihre Kin­der im Kel­ler in Kiew, Agen­tur­bil­der von flüch­ten­den Men­schen, das Phil­har­mo­nie­or­ches­ter in Kiew auf dem Frei­heits­platz, das die Euro­pa­hym­ne spielt. Ode an die Freu­de. (Ton aus dem off: “Gegen die Ohn­macht, die Stil­le und die Angst.”)

Very moving speech by Selenskyj

16. März 2022

from 20 minu­tes ago:

Have: Perl Har­bour, 9/11, ter­ro­rists, I have a dream, a live video­feed direct­ly into US con­gress on a cine­ma sized videow­all, encryp­ted video com­mu­ni­ca­ti­on out of the Ukrai­ne pro­vi­ded by the US mili­ta­ry, pre­pro­du­ced video packa­ge (clo­se the sky over Ukrai­ne, scored to vio­lin music);

Need: No fly zone, if not pos­si­ble, S-300 anti air sys­tems, com­pa­nies lea­ving rus­sia, new tools to be crea­ted to be able to respond quick­ly. Jus­ti­ce to history.

Sear­ching for: “Sen­se in life, if I can not save lives”.

Will get - ano­t­her 800 mil­li­on USD released as secu­ri­ty assi­s­tance.

edit: Also this:

Slo­va­kia has preli­mi­na­ri­ly agreed to pro­vi­de Ukrai­ne with a key Soviet-era air defen­se sys­tem to help defend against Rus­si­an airstrikes, accord­ing to three sources fami­li­ar with the mat­ter, but the US and NATO are still grap­p­ling with how to back­fill that country’s own defen­si­ve capa­bi­li­ties and the trans­fer is not yet assured. 

Accord­ing to two of the sources, Slo­va­kia, one of three NATO allies that have the defen­se sys­tems in ques­ti­on, wants assuran­ces that the sys­tems will be repla­ced immediately. 

If a coun­try pro­vi­ded its S-300s, the sup­ply­ing coun­try is likely to recei­ve the US-made Patri­ot air defen­se mis­si­le sys­tem to back­fill the capa­bi­li­ty it would be giving up, accord­ing to two other sources fami­li­ar with the negotiations. 

Ger­ma­ny and the Nether­lands have alrea­dy publicly announ­ced that they are sen­ding Patri­ots to Slo­va­kia. But inte­gra­ting a new, com­plex air defen­se sys­tem into a country’s exis­ting mili­ta­ry archi­tec­tu­re, as well as trai­ning its for­ces to use it, can take time, one source fami­li­ar with the mat­ter cautioned.

src: click

and this:

US to pro­vi­de Switch­b­la­de dro­nes to Ukrai­ne, sources say

Pre­si­dent Joe Biden announ­ced on Wed­nes­day addi­tio­nal US assi­s­tance to Ukrai­ne inclu­ding dro­nes, and two sources fami­li­ar with the mat­ter tell CNN that, spe­ci­fi­cal­ly, the US will be pro­vi­ding Switch­b­la­de dro­nes, which are small, por­ta­ble so-called kami­ka­ze or sui­ci­de dro­nes that car­ry a war­head and deto­na­te on impact.

src: click

More military deterrence would have prevented this

16. März 2022

- need a pro­po­nent of that lovely theo­rem no one can veri­fy, but that usual­ly repres­ents the most haw­kish posi­ti­on possible?

Look no fur­ther than the for­mer ambas­sodor to the Ukrai­ne, ous­ted by Trump, Marie Yovanovitch.

She has a new book out.

Also a pro­po­nent of the “Putin is not going to stop with Ukrai­ne, and this is a serious thre­at for Nato coun­tries” the­sis of course --

Oh, and dont for­get the CNN mode­ra­tor that leads in with the fol­lowing ques­ti­on, refe­ren­cing a spe­ci­fic para­graph in Yova­no­vitchs book:

We have fai­led to call out Russia’s beha­vi­or in a way that Rus­sia finds per­sua­si­ve or taken steps to stop it that Moscow finds com­pel­ling. If we con­ti­nue to fum­ble around [always a gre­at sign, when you make argu­ments non spe­ci­fic], we will some­day, may­be soon, find our­sel­ves in a serious con­fron­ta­ti­on in a con­text not of our choo­sing and not to our advantage.”

- then sta­tes, that this was pre­sci­ent, then asks, how is what we are see­ing today a con­se­quence of what she wro­te - this is the ans­wer that follows:

I think its the cul­mi­na­ti­on of what we’­ve seen com­ing from the Putin regime, over the last 20 years - 2008, the inva­si­on of Geor­gia, then we had Ukrai­ne in 2014, and now Ukrai­ne again in 2022, and I think Putin will con­ti­nue to expand, ah, the rus­si­an empi­re, the for­mer soviet empi­re as he sees it, unless he is stopped.”

What fol­lows next is a news anchor that starts pran­cing around and miming a clo­sed fist vs. open hand meta­phor into came­ra, giving an exact image, of how serious the for­mer ambassa­dor was when she wrote 

- some­day, may­be [we’ll] find our­sel­ves in a serious con­fron­ta­ti­on in a con­text not of our choo­sing and not to our advantage

to then end his inqui­ry, by finis­hing his ques­ti­on - “Is this [what we cur­r­ent­ly see] that, that we are mee­ting Putin with a clo­sed fist now, ins­tead of an open hand?”

You know - the urgent ques­ti­on, for the public deba­te, that gets broad­cast on CNN the­se days… Oh, and could I inte­rest you in a book thats inde­ed very prescient?

Almost as pre­sci­ent as DWs inter­view with the for­mer US Army Euro­pe Com­man­der Lt. Gene­ral Ben Hod­ges, who under­stands that the com­ing two weeks will be decisi­ve, and is also a pro­po­nent of the the­sis, that… Ah, lis­ten for yourself:

This was Ben Hod­ges at the Munich Secu­ri­ty con­fe­rence three weeks ago, btw.:

You know - DW and him are good friends.
Oh, and Aman­pour of cour­se… (See click and click.)

Oh, and the Ukrai­ne will suc­ceed in a war of attri­ti­on of cour­se espe­cial­ly longterm:

Which the same CNN mode­ra­tor then calls “slow anni­hi­la­ti­on, as US offi­cials were tel­ling Jim Sciut­to”. (Pro­bab­ly in this video, if not, limit the you­tube search fil­ter to the last mon­th and start digging.)

Yeah, who could want that… Nobo­dy could want that, right?

Now, look at the cute litt­le dog­gy! Is it a moral obligation?

Look at the dog­gy once more. 

(The­res a second, ent­i­re­ly unre­la­ted, pup­py dog shot in the video, btw. just for good measure.)

edit: Two dogs in this report. Very popu­lar moti­ve for came­ra crews the­se days. But this time, at least not in the attract image.

The unhinged meeting

16. März 2022

Can we get some mood music, and some peop­le admit­ting in per­fect rea­li­ty TV script style, that that was the moment, when they rea­li­zed that this would beco­me a war? May­be add a few “they are afraid” and “he’s unhin­ged” sound­bi­tes to it?

Thank you PBS.

Also - at the same time the offi­cial nar­ra­ti­ve on the sci­en­ti­fic side is, that US intel­li­gence cir­cles war­ned about the strong pos­si­bi­li­ty of a war at least two weeks pri­or (see: click). Which then is a litt­le bit embezzled by the Hoo­ver Insti­tu­te for ger­ne­ral pun­dit con­sump­ti­on, and made into the rea­so­ning for the nar­ra­ti­ve, that the one good aspect that came out of this is, that euro­pe is now clo­ser in terms of poli­cy posi­ti­ons than ever befo­re. Of cour­se some peop­le also call BS on that, becau­se it is unity by neces­si­ty, but tho­se are just mad wierdos.

At the same time it is ack­now­led­ged, that the ent­i­re mee­ting was made up for PR pur­po­ses, that it was pre­recor­ded, yet it shows with abso­lu­te cer­tain­ty, how distant Putin is to his advi­sers, and how unhin­ged, even cra­zy he is, and that ever­yo­ne in his own “balan­ce of power cir­cles” is afraid of him.

Wait - do I need his­to­ri­cal experts for that pur­po­se, that are exact­ly dumb enough not to under­stand that should a balan­ce of power in Rus­sia exist, it is not “argued for free­ly” in the open, in a pre­recor­ded PR pro­duc­tion? Do I need experts just dumb enough not to noti­ce, that the fact that Putin put down the SVR intel­li­gence chief, was repor­ted by the same media out­lets (PBS) as a public dis­play of the noti­on, that the for­eign secu­ri­ty sec­tor wit­hin rus­sia has lost influence?

Sor­ry - not dumb enough, just situa­ted in the right tal­king cir­cles of course.

Peop­le spea­king in the video:

What was espe­cial­ly weird and cree­py was the way he dres­sed down the head of his for­eign intel­li­gence ser­vice, [Ser­gey] Narysh­kin,” says Dani­el Fried, cur­r­ent­ly a dis­tin­guis­hed fel­low at the Atlan­tic Coun­cil, who ser­ved as the U.S. ambassa­dor to Poland from 1997 to 2000 and as assi­stant secreta­ry of sta­te for Euro­pean and Eura­si­an affairs from 2005 to 2009.

[Putin] see­med to go off the rails, angry and bera­ting his intel­li­gence chief,” recalls Scha­ke, who pre­vious­ly ser­ved at the U.S. Sta­te Depart­ment, the Depart­ment of Defen­se and the Natio­nal Secu­ri­ty Coun­cil. “It was such a stran­ge and such an orches­tra­ted per­for­mance, that that’s the moment when I rea­li­zed that Putin was actual­ly going to attack Ukraine.

src: click

Oh, just for com­pa­ra­ti­ve pur­po­ses, lets see how fran­ce reacts to stuff simi­lar to this:

US intel paints Putin as aggrie­ved, angry over Ukrai­ne war

Washing­ton (AFP) – US intel­li­gence chiefs on Tues­day bran­ded Russia’s Vla­di­mir Putin an “angry,” iso­la­ted lea­der grap­p­ling for glo­bal clout, frus­tra­ted about how his Ukrai­ne inva­si­on has not gone to plan, and lob­bing pro­vo­ca­ti­ve nuclear thre­ats at the West.

The long-standing pre­si­dent in Moscow has been “stewing in a com­bus­ti­ble com­bi­na­ti­on of grie­van­ce and ambi­ti­on for many years,” CIA Direc­tor Wil­liam Burns told US lawmakers.

He cal­led the inva­si­on of Ukrai­ne a mat­ter of “deep per­so­nal con­vic­tion” for Putin, his latest defi­ant clash with Euro­pe and the United States.

I think Putin is angry and frus­tra­ted right now. He’s likely to dou­ble down and try to grind down the Ukrai­ni­an mili­ta­ry with no regard for civi­li­an casu­al­ties,” Burns said at a con­gres­sio­nal hea­ring on glo­bal threats.

The Rus­si­an strong­man has encoun­te­red a tidal wave of opp­ro­bri­um for the dead­ly inva­si­on, lea­ving him iso­la­ted like never before.

The US intel­li­gence com­mu­ni­ty war­ned of the poten­ti­al for Putin to lash out, espe­cial­ly noting an ele­va­ted nuclear threat.

Lieu­ten­ant Gene­ral Scott Ber­ri­er, direc­tor of the Pentagon’s Defen­se Intel­li­gence Agen­cy, said Rus­sia under Putin has been working over­ti­me to moder­ni­ze its wea­pon­ry, par­ti­cu­lar­ly smaller-yield nuclear weapons.

Putin has “inves­ted in tac­ti­cal nuclear wea­pons,” Ber­ri­er said. “I belie­ve that he thinks that gives him an asym­metric advantage.”

Putin took the shock step last mon­th of put­ting Russia’s nuclear for­ces on high alert.

Some US offi­cials have pri­va­te­ly expres­sed con­cern that, in a worst-case sce­n­a­rio, he might order deploy­ment of such mini-nukes on a city.

Direc­tor of Natio­nal Intel­li­gence Avril Hai­nes said “Putin’s nuclear saber-rattling” has put the West on notice.

We assess Putin feels aggrie­ved the West does not give him pro­per defe­rence, and per­cei­ves this as a war he can­not afford to lose,” Hai­nes told the panel.

But what he might be wil­ling to accept as a vic­to­ry may chan­ge over time,” she said.

Putin’s inva­si­on has pro­du­ced “a shock to the geo­po­li­ti­cal order with impli­ca­ti­ons for the future that we are only begin­ning to under­stand, but are sure to be consequential.”

With Putin under immense pres­su­re, the “sys­tem” the Rus­si­an pre­si­dent crea­ted of a cir­cle of clo­se advi­sors is get­ting “nar­rower and nar­rower,” the CIA’s Burns said.

In such a sys­tem, “it’s not pro­ven care­er enhan­cing for peop­le to ques­ti­on or chal­len­ge his judgment.”

france24 via AFP

Wait paints?

Oh, and can I get some mood music for that - and a rea­li­ty TV pro­duc­tion set­up, with peop­le com­men­ting on how they felt, when they saw it?

Thanks.

Subject(s): Social Sci­en­ces, Media stu­dies, Com­mu­ni­ca­ti­on stu­dies, Theo­ry of Communication

Publis­hed by: Факултет по журналистика и масова комуникация, Софийски университет „Св. Кл. Охридски”

Key­words: Rus­si­an tele­vi­si­on; per­so­na­liz­a­ti­on; pro­pa­gan­da; poli­ti­cal talk shows; inter­na­tio­nal rela­ti­ons; public opinion

Summary/Abstract:This arti­cle shows how Rus­si­an media use per­so­na­liz­a­ti­on to incre­a­se pro-Russian influ­ence on every Russian-speaking com­mu­ni­ty. Based on the examp­les it gives an under­stan­ding, why such man­ner of repre­sen­ting the news can be dan­ge­rous as it incre­a­ses natio­na­lism and xeno­pho­bia, making the ste­reo­ty­pes rule over the facts. The long-term objec­ti­ve of [this] work is to pre­vent the deve­lo­p­ment of such kind of per­so­na­liz­a­ti­on and to decre­a­se the nega­ti­ve influ­ence upon other countries.

src: click

Oh, shit, wrong coun­try, wrong country…

UN sieht bis zu 90 Prozent der Ukrainer von Armut bedroht

16. März 2022

Neun von zehn Ukrai­nern wären nach Ansicht des UN-Entwicklungsexperten Achim Stei­ner im Fall eines lang anhal­ten­den Krie­ges von Armut bedroht. Im schlimms­ten Fall wür­de die Wirt­schaft des Lan­des zusam­men­bre­chen und das Wachs­tum von zwei Jahr­zehn­ten zunich­te gemacht, sag­te Stei­ner, Admi­nis­tra­tor des Ent­wick­lungs­pro­gramms der Ver­ein­ten Natio­nen (UNDP).

1:1 vom Stan­dard kopiert
src: click

Gleich­zei­tig wird fol­gen­des kolportiert:

Für die Ukrai­ne ist der Krieg nicht aussichtslos

Ein direk­ter mili­tä­ri­scher Sieg gegen Russ­land scheint unwahr­schein­lich zu sein. Doch je län­ger Kiew durch­hält, des­to bes­ser ist die Ver­hand­lungs­grund­la­ge für die Ukraine

Daher [aus dem Text geht in keins­ter Wei­se her­vor wor­auf sich daher bezieht - es wird ein­fach pos­tu­liert, die Maxi­mal­for­de­run­gen Russ­lands sei­en nicht umsetz­bar - daher bezieht sich auf die­ses Pos­tu­lat…] müss­te Mos­kau bei einem andau­ern­den Krieg auch selbst nach Kom­pro­mis­sen suchen – eigent­lich. Denn Russ­lands Prä­si­dent heißt Wla­di­mir Putin – und genau sei­ne man­geln­de Ratio­na­li­tät macht das End­sze­na­rio des Krie­ges so unberechenbar.

src: click

Der Mör­der Putin machts aber nicht, weil er so ver­rückt ist.

Obwohl ers laut Selen­skyj macht - aber zuvor noch ein wenig gekämpft wer­den muss.

Der ukrai­ni­sche Prä­si­dent Wolo­dym­yr Selen­skyj ver­sprüht in einer Video­bot­schaft so etwas wie einen Fun­ken Hoff­nun­gen über mög­li­che Frie­dens­ver­hand­lun­gen mit Russ­land. Die Ver­hand­lungs­po­si­tio­nen Russ­lands hör­ten sich “rea­lis­ti­scher” an, sag­te Selen­skyj. Bis die Ukrai­ne zufrie­den sein kön­ne, daue­re es aber noch. “Wir alle wol­len so schnell wie mög­lich Frie­den und Sieg”, mein­te der Prä­si­dent. “Aber es braucht Mühe und Geduld.”

Es müs­se noch gekämpft und gear­bei­tet wer­den. Jeder Krieg ende mit einer Ver­ein­ba­rung. “Die Tref­fen wer­den fortgesetzt.”

src: click
Alles klar?

Wir sehen, die Inter­es­sen der Ukrai­ne spie­geln nicht die Inter­es­sen der armuts­ge­fähr­de­ten Bevöl­ke­rung in der Ukrai­ne wie­der. Zumin­dest nicht mittelfristig.

Hilfs­pa­ket von 13,6 Mil­li­ar­den USD aus den US wur­de ges­tern ver­ab­schie­det und rus­si­sche Gegen­sank­tio­nen wie folgt öffent­lich kommentiert -

US-Regierung spot­tet über rus­si­sche Sanktionen
Die US-Regierung hat mit Spott auf die von Russ­land ver­häng­ten Ein­rei­se­ver­bo­te gegen US-Präsident Joe Biden und ande­re Poli­ti­ker reagiert. “Als ers­tes möch­te ich anmer­ken, dass Prä­si­dent Biden ein Juni­or ist, so dass sie viel­leicht sei­nen Vater sank­tio­niert haben. Möge er in Frie­den ruhen”, sag­te die Spre­che­rin des Wei­ßen Hau­ses, Jen Psa­ki, am Diens­tag weil bei der Sank­ti­ons­lis­te ein “jr.” fehl­te. Auch Ex-Präsidentschaftskandidatin Hil­ary Clin­ton spot­te­te über ihre Sank­tio­nie­rung, dass sie der “rus­si­schen Aca­de­my für die Aus­zeich­nung für ihr Lebens­werk” danke.

Psa­ki füg­te hin­zu: “Ich wür­de sagen, dass es nie­man­den von Ihnen über­ra­schen wird, dass kei­ner von uns Tou­ris­ten­rei­sen nach Russ­land plant und kei­ner von uns Bank­kon­ten hat, auf die wir nicht zugrei­fen kön­nen.” Im Gegen­zug hät­ten die west­li­chen Sank­tio­nen die rus­si­sche Wirt­schaft um Jahr­zehn­te zurück­ge­wor­fen, so Psa­ki. “Die bei­spiel­lo­sen Kos­ten, die wir mit Ver­bün­de­ten und Part­nern auf­er­legt haben, haben 30 Jah­re wirt­schaft­li­chen Fort­schritt zunich­te­ge­macht”, sag­te Psaki.

src: click

Wir kämp­fen also bes­ser noch ein Weilchen.

Und ver­spot­ten eine der Kriegs­par­tei­en öffentlich.

Wäh­rend wir für mehr Armut in der Ukrai­ne und welt­weit sorgen.

Zum Schutz west­li­cher Werte.

Von den bud­ge­tier­ten 13.6 Mil­li­ar­den USD sind bis­her erst 200 Mil­lio­nen als Mili­tär­hil­fe frei­ge­ge­ben. Da müs­sen sich die Ukrai­ner schon noch ein wenig ran­hal­ten - immer­hin sta­bi­li­sie­ren wir mit dem Rest deren Gesell­schaft. Gesamt­scha­dens­sum­me geschätzt 100 Mil­li­ar­den und stei­gend, laut ukrai­ni­schen Angaben.
src: click

Aber da kann man dann ja Auf­bau­hil­fe mit west­li­chen Kon­zer­nen nach­schie­ßen. Natür­lich erst, wenn die Ukrai­ne wie­der einen Zugang zum Meer hat. Sonst ist eine sepa­rier­te West­ukrai­ne wirt­schaft­lich nicht haltbar.

Ich glau­be wir brau­chen kurz- und mit­tel­fris­tig noch ein paar mehr Helden.

His­to­ric heroes - mind you, says the majo­ri­ty opi­ni­on in Washing­ton DC:

Demo­cra­cy, free­dom, sov­er­eig­n­ty against dic­ta­tor­s­hip, you know the drill… Values.
And the mode­ra­tor even dares to ask whe­re our values were pre­vious­ly - but then he slow­ly gets the new nar­ra­ti­ve (“This is a mus­cu­lar, patrio­tic defen­se of a libe­ral open socie­ty. […] We instinc­tively under­stand it in a way that other wars, civil wars, have been much har­der to under­stand -” (- this is whats dif­fe­rent this time around).”), and starts nodding…

Is pro­pa­gan­da used to make peop­le under­stand? Lets say by using emo­tio­nal­ly loa­ded terms in one instance, and 400x less repor­ting in other instan­ces? (Sil­ly sta­tis­tic, but you know - its the princip­le that counts…)

(Die Mel­dun­gen stam­men bis auf die Ein­schät­zung zu den bis­he­ri­gen Gesamt­schä­den aus den letz­ten bei­den Tagen.)

edit: War­um haben die Sank­tio­nen in Russ­land eigent­lich 30 Jah­re Wirt­schafts­wachs­tum zu Nich­te gemacht, der Krieg in der Ukrai­ne jedoch nur 20 Jah­re des ukrainischen?

20 Jah­re hät­te Russ­land här­ter getrof­fen, aber 30 Jah­re klingt nach mehr. Ver­stan­den? (Ver­dammt, immer die­se scheiß Sani­ty Checks bei vor­ge­brach­ten Argumenten…)

edit2: Der Stan­dard fan­ta­siert sich in dem Zusam­men­hang jetzt die Aus­sa­ge her­bei, dass die ukrai­ni­schen Streit­kräf­te gegen­über rus­si­schen Trup­pen erst­mals im Vor­teil wären - “da die rus­si­schen Streit­kräf­te dar­um kämpf­ten, die Her­aus­for­de­run­gen des ukrai­ni­schen Gelän­des zu meis­tern”. Das steht im Secu­ri­ty brie­fing über das berich­tet wird, jedoch nicht drin­nen. Also der, dass die Ukrai­ne “im Vor­teil wäre” Teil. Naja, man kanns ja mal zur Gewis­sens­be­ru­hi­gung erfinden.
Wir fas­sen also zusam­men, dass die rus­si­schen Streit­kräf­te (die kampf­erfah­re­nen und noch eher moti­vier­ten Trup­pen in den Sepa­ra­tis­ten­ge­bie­ten) Stras­sen nach Myko­la­jiw gesi­chert haben (dazu der Focus: Ali­na will nicht im Kel­ler Mut­ter wer­den), ist “Rus­si­as reluc­tance to con­duct off-road mano­eu­vres”, was dazu geführt hat, dass “ukrai­nes armed for­ces adept­ly explo­i­ted Rus­si­as lack of mano­eu­vre, frus­tra­ting rus­si­an advan­ce and inflic­ting hea­vy los­ses on the inva­ding for­ces” konn­ten - was nicht bedeu­tet, dass sie im Vor­teil sind, aber immer­hin liest sichs so ähn­lich, also kann mans als Qua­li­täts­zei­tung schon mal behaup­ten - weil das bri­ti­sche secu­ri­ty brie­fing angibt “Rus­si­an for­ces are struggling to over­co­me the chal­len­ges posed by Ukrai­nes ter­rain.” Hach die Vor­tei­le des Gueríllakampfs. So roman­tisch. “Hea­vy los­ses” da Russ­land den Luft­raum nicht kom­plett kon­trol­liert, soll hei­ßen, die tür­ki­schen Bay­raktar Droh­nen wirken.

Dazu der Spie­gel vor zwei Wochen:

Kiews neu­ge­bo­re­ner Lemur nach Bayraktar-Kampfdrohne benannt
Nach der Geburt eines klei­nen Affen im Zoo von Kiew ver­kün­det Bür­ger­meis­ter Vita­li Klitsch­ko den Namen des Pri­ma­ten. Er bezieht sich auf den Krieg im Land.

Die Bayraktar-Drohnen wer­den von der Ukrai­ne als Wun­der­waf­fe im Kampf gegen Russ­land gefei­ert und sogar in einem zwei­fel­haf­ten Pop­song besun­gen. Die unbe­mann­ten Flug­zeu­ge kön­nen sich in gro­ßer Höhe unbe­merkt den Pan­zer­kampf­ver­bän­den nähern – und die­se dann aus der Luft bekämpfen.

src: click
Pop­song? click Alles klar? Bayraktar.

edit3:

Truss skep­tisch bezüg­lich Friedensgesprächen
Die bri­ti­sche Außen­mi­nis­te­rin Liz Truss sag­te am Diens­tag (heu­te, 16.03.2022), sie sei skep­tisch gegen­über Frie­dens­ge­sprä­chen zwi­schen Russ­land und der Ukraine.

Ich bin skep­tisch gegen­über den Frie­dens­ge­sprä­chen, wäh­rend Putin immer noch Krieg in der Ukrai­ne führt. Er muss einen Waf­fen­still­stand ein­füh­ren und sei­ne Trup­pen abzie­hen, damit die­se Frie­dens­ge­sprä­che ernst genom­men wer­den kön­nen“, sag­te Truss gegen­über BBC TV. Putin müs­se “um jeden Preis” gestoppt wer­den, sag­te sie.

src: click

Jetzt sind wir aber alle wie­der erstaunt oder? Die­ser ver­rück­te Putin wieder!

Want to watch a japanese ambassador lie?

15. März 2022

- and all the while defi­ne the upco­m­ing eco­no­mic and secu­ri­ty poli­cy for Euro­pe over the next 20 years?

He even says it three times in a row, just for good mea­su­re, its hard to miss - like, you know, when you come up with a thought, and then repeat it three times in a row, becau­se… Oh sor­ry - no one is going to do that, unless they’d want it to stick - as they didnt at all come up with it on the spot. Oh yes, and like, when you then add a “this is not zero sum, becau­se Japan will still be nee­ding Ger­ma­ny and Ger­ma­ny needs Japan” at the end, just for good mea­su­re. Becau­se, you know, you do.
But dont worry - Japan would even be wil­ling to take Ukrai­ne refu­gees. Hes sure of it, alt­hough he doesnt repre­sent the japa­ne­se government of cour­se. But with pro­spects like these…

G.M.F. deli­vers

(The best thing to do is to do not­hing at all (des­pi­te kee­ping the public enemy image up for more than a year, and pos­si­b­ly years), and stick tog­e­ther, even though we ful­ly anti­ci­pa­te this to beco­me a long war of attri­ti­on - other­wi­se Chi­na might get ide­as in terms of whats fea­si­ble, and also Japan is expo­sed to/dependent on less than a 10th of ger­man ener­gy needs from rus­si­an exports, so the best thing real­ly is to be pati­ent and stick this through - then Japan gets the invest­ment Ger­ma­nys not going to get, while the US will not be expo­sed at all, while Chi­na will not get the idea, that cal­cu­la­ting stra­te­gies deri­ved from Rus­si­as attack cos­ts is a worthwhile thing, and ever­ything can stay like it is, just with Ger­ma­ny get­ting com­ple­te­ly ram­rod­ded in the pro­cess, oh and Ukrai­ne of course…)

Want to see a middling US col­le­ge histo­ry pro­fes­sor go into a third round of “keep ger­ma­ny down” rhe­to­rics, and clas­si­fy it as the first coun­try that would try to break out of a joint Nato posi­ti­on, dis­tinct­ly even more so than Turkey?

The money quo­te to look for is “we’­ve got to keep our eyes on ger­ma­ny and keep them in line”.

Won­der­ful.

Also, of cour­se, ever­yo­ne on the G.M.F. panel can agree, that this is a “pati­ence game” - sor­ry, war of attri­ti­on, that will play out in the Ukraine.

This one is for the (wes­tern) values, I think. So much values, Doge amount of much values. Is the pope in Kyiv yet? edit: He has. Finally!

Nice balance of news storys

15. März 2022

Pos­ted, most­ly for reference.

Kurze Durchsage der Atlantikbrücke 2

14. März 2022

Putin denkt, dass Euro­pa es nicht schafft die Sank­tio­nen lang­fris­tig auf­recht­zu­er­hal­ten! (Also die Sank­tio­nen die so designt wur­den, dass Euro­pa sie lang­fris­tig auf­recht­erhal­ten kann.)

Was?

Ich fas­se noch­mal zusam­men, der in die Ecke getrie­be­ne Putin sieht kei­nen Aus­weg, und dou­bled mili­tä­risch down, sieht aber den Aus­weg, dass Euro­pa bei den Sank­tio­nen frü­her ein­knickt (Frü­her als was? Als der Krieg zu Ende ist? Als Kiev fällt? Als Russ­land mit­tel­fris­tig kol­la­biert?) -- dess­halb müs­sen wir jetzt zusam­men­hal­ten, denn das hat Putin nicht erwartet.

Ach egal, es wird schon stimmen.

edit: Gabri­el glau­be auch nicht, dass wir vor schnel­len Ergeb­nis­sen ste­hen, dafür sei­en die Posi­tio­nen zu weit aus­ein­an­der [ein paar Sät­ze davor warens noch die Sank­tio­nen die erst lang­fris­tig Wir­kung zei­gen wür­den], und fin­det - dass Ver­hand­lungs­lö­sun­gen wich­tig sind.

Und sieht gleich­zei­tig noch viel schlim­me­res Leid durch eska­lie­ren­de Militärgewalt.

Sagt dem mal wer, dass er sei­ne aus­wen­dig gelern­ten Tal­king Points nicht mit sei­ner Mei­nung mischen darf, da da sonst nur in sich wider­sprüch­li­che Aus­sa­gen dabei rauskommen?

Dem Mode­ra­tor wärs aber nicht aufgefallen.

edit: Habs noch mal ver­sucht auf einem Zeit­strahl zu ord­nen. Zuerst mili­tä­ri­sche Eska­la­ti­on und Zunah­me von Gewalt, dann Sank­tio­nen die mit­tel­fris­tig ihre Wir­kung ent­fal­ten kön­nen, dann Gesprä­che die so wich­tig sind, dann ein Putin der eine Lösung des Kon­flik­tes sieht, obwohl er den Kon­flikt als Lösung sieht, in dem Euro­pa früh­zei­tig ein­knickt. Der aber nicht mit der Einig­keit Euro­pas gerech­net hat. Nach­dem der Sig­mar das laut im Fern­se­hen ange­kün­digt hat. Wir haben schon gewon­nen. Auch wenn die Nato kei­ne mili­tä­ri­schen Inter­ven­ti­ons­mög­lich­kei­ten hat. Weil unser Zusam­men­halt so stark ist! Was der Sig­mar Gabri­el alles weiß… Die Atlan­tik­brü­cke hat dazu sicher wie­der Stu­di­en gemacht.

Der Standard hat mal wieder keine Propaganda gefunden

14. März 2022

und emp­fielt Lesern gera­de sol­che Texte

Dear Rus­si­ans, your media is being cen­so­red. The Krem­lin is lying. Find out the truth about Ukrai­ne on the free web and on the Tele­gram app. Time to over­throw dic­ta­tor Putin!

Über ein Online-Portal.

per SMS und email direkt an Rus­sen zu sen­den, falls ihr wel­che kennt. Manch­mal sei­en laut Betrei­ber des Por­tals dar­aus auch Gesprä­che ent­stan­den in denen Rus­sen gesagt hät­ten wie sehr sie Putin hassen!

src: click